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Sao Raimundo RR vs Progresso

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Roraimense 2025
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Match Events

44' Event
Juninho
77' Event
Kante
85' Event
Rian

AI Match Summary

The Roraimense 2025 game between Sao Raimundo RR and Progresso finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Raimundo RR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sao Raimundo RR
20%
Draws
44%
Progresso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Progresso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Raimundo RR carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sao Raimundo RR's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Roraimense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sao Raimundo RR here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Sao Raimundo RR Clean Sheet 20%
Progresso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Raimundo RR Progresso
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 18 2
Draws 9 3
Losses 9 25
Goals Scored 2.44 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.86 3.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.89
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 Roraimense
Sao Raimundo RR vs Progresso
5:0
Mar 7, 2025 Roraimense
Sao Raimundo RR vs Progresso
3:0
May 7, 2024 Roraimense
Progresso vs Sao Raimundo RR
0:13
Mar 29, 2023 Roraimense
Progresso vs Sao Raimundo RR
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Raimundo RR Compare

Top Goalscorer Juninho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kante
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Progresso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.81
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Raimundo RR 85 / 100
Progresso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Raimundo RR Progresso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Raimundo RR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.75 goals when they meet.

Sao Raimundo RR found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (36 games).

Solid form: Sao Raimundo RR remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Raimundo RR VS Progresso
0.88 Goals Scored 1.4
0.38 Goals Conceded 3
38% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 80%
0% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Raimundo RR

(Home)
28 Jun
Porto Velho
2 : 1
Sao Raimundo RR
21 Jun
Sao Raimundo RR
1 : 1
Porto Velho
14 Jun
Manauara
1 : 0
Sao Raimundo RR
30 May
Sao Raimundo RR
4 : 0
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
24 May
Monte Roraima
2 : 2
Sao Raimundo RR
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Progresso

(Away)
18 Mar
Nautico FC
2 : 0
Progresso
14 Mar
Bare
4 : 0
Progresso
11 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 4
Progresso
06 Mar
Progresso
0 : 7
River Esporte Clube
28 Feb
Progresso
3 : 1
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 7 5 1 1 23:5 16
2 Bare 7 5 1 1 19:3 16
3 Monte Roraima 7 4 2 1 12:4 14
4 Sao Raimundo RR 7 4 1 2 15:7 13
5 Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
6 Nautico FC 7 1 1 5 9:22 4
7 Atl. Roraima 7 0 3 4 3:20 3
8 Progresso 7 0 2 5 1:19 2
Promotion - Roraimense 2025 (Play Offs)