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Sao Salvador vs Primeiro de Maio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Angola Angola

Girabola
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Salvador host Primeiro de Maio in the Girabola. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Sao Salvador have averaged 0.86 scored and 1.11 conceded recently, against Primeiro de Maio's 1.14 scored and 1.04 conceded. Head-to-head, Sao Salvador have won 1 to Primeiro de Maio's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (0.69 - 0.88) back Primeiro de Maio to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sao Salvador
20%
Draws
51%
Primeiro de Maio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Primeiro de Maio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Primeiro de Maio come out ahead of Sao Salvador on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Girabola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sao Salvador Clean Sheet 20%
Primeiro de Maio Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Salvador Primeiro de Maio
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.86 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Girabola
Sao Salvador vs Primeiro de Maio
3:2
Oct 19, 2025 Girabola
Primeiro de Maio vs Sao Salvador
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Salvador 36 / 100
Primeiro de Maio 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Salvador Primeiro de Maio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primeiro de Maio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Salvador found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Primeiro de Maio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sao Salvador has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Salvador VS Primeiro de Maio
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Salvador

(Home)
20 Sept
Sao Salvador
0 : 0
Cabinda
17 Sept
Sao Salvador
0 : 1
Petro Atletico
06 Sept
Bravos do Maquis
0 : 1
Sao Salvador
29 Aug
Sagrada
3 : 1
Sao Salvador
23 Aug
Sao Salvador
0 : 1
Interclube
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Primeiro de Maio

(Away)
21 Sept
Primeiro de Maio
1 : 0
CD Lunda Sul
12 Sept
C.R.D. Libolo
2 : 1
Primeiro de Maio
05 Sept
Academica
0 : 2
Primeiro de Maio
27 Aug
Primeiro de Maio
1 : 2
Primeiro de Agosto
23 Aug
Primeiro de Maio
1 : 1
Kabuscorp
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wiliete 5 5 0 0 12:1 15
2 Primeiro de Agosto 5 4 1 0 9:5 13
3 Bravos do Maquis 5 4 0 1 7:2 12
4 Petro Atletico 5 3 2 0 6:0 11
5 Interclube 5 3 0 2 6:4 9
6 Desportivo Huila 5 3 0 2 5:4 9
7 Primeiro de Maio 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Sagrada 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
9 C.R.D. Libolo 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
10 Caala 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
11 Kabuscorp 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
12 CD Lunda Sul 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
13 FC Luanda 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
14 Sao Salvador 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
15 Cabinda 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
16 Academica 5 0 0 5 0:9 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)