Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Municipal Stadium of Oujda

Sao Tome and Principe

2 - 3

Equatorial Guinea

Our Tip

Match Events

Lumungo R.

(Penalty)

37'

Reis Tavares Semedo K.

42'

Lumungo R.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Sao Tome and Principe and Equatorial Guinea finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Equatorial Guinea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Sao Tome and Principe

Draws

90%

Equatorial Guinea

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Equatorial Guinea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Sao Tome and Principe haven't matched Equatorial Guinea's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Equatorial Guinea's way, sitting at 90%.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%

Sao Tome and Principe Clean Sheet 11%

Equatorial Guinea Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sao Tome and Principe	Equatorial Guinea
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	3	8
Draws	4	7
Losses	22	14
Goals Scored	0.5	0.88
Goals Conceded	2.67	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.67	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2025 World Championship

Sao Tome and Principe vs Equatorial Guinea

Possession: 54% - 60% Cards: 2 - 3

2:3

Mar 21, 2025 World Championship

Equatorial Guinea vs Sao Tome and Principe

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 3 - 0

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Tome and Principe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Equatorial Guinea Compare

Top Goalscorer Ganet P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Salvador I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Tome and Principe 10 / 100

Equatorial Guinea 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sao Tome and Principe Equatorial Guinea

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EQU Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Equatorial Guinea conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Equatorial Guinea's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Sao Tome and Principe's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Tome and Principe VS Equatorial Guinea

0.5 Goals Scored 0.88

2.67 Goals Conceded 1.5

67% Over 1.5 75%

67% Over 2.5 38%

33% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	10	8	2	0	20:2	26
2	Burkina Faso	10	6	3	1	23:8	21
3	Sierra Leone	10	4	3	3	12:10	15
4	Guinea Bissau	10	2	4	4	8:10	10
5	Ethiopia	10	2	3	5	9:14	9
6	Djibouti	10	0	1	9	5:33	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	10	7	3	0	22:3	24
2	D.R. Congo	10	7	1	2	15:6	22
3	Sudan	10	3	4	3	8:6	13
4	Togo	10	1	5	4	5:10	8
5	Mauritania	10	1	4	5	4:13	7
6	South Sudan	10	0	5	5	3:19	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	10	5	3	2	15:9	18
2	Nigeria	10	4	5	1	15:8	17
3	Benin	10	5	2	3	12:11	17
4	Lesotho	10	3	3	4	9:12	12
5	Rwanda	10	3	2	5	5:9	11
6	Zimbabwe	10	0	5	5	5:12	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cape Verde	10	7	2	1	16:8	23
2	Cameroon	10	5	4	1	17:5	19
3	Libya	10	4	4	2	12:10	16
4	Angola	10	2	6	2	9:8	12
5	Mauritius	10	1	3	6	7:17	6
6	Eswatini	10	0	3	7	6:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	8	8	0	0	22:2	24
2	Niger	8	5	0	3	11:10	15
3	Tanzania	8	3	1	4	6:7	10
4	Zambia	8	3	0	5	10:10	9
5	Congo	8	0	1	7	4:24	1
6	Eritrea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ivory Coast	10	8	2	0	25:0	26
2	Gabon	10	8	1	1	22:9	25
3	Gambia	10	4	1	5	27:18	13
4	Kenya	10	3	3	4	18:14	12
5	Burundi	10	3	1	6	13:13	10
6	Seychelles	10	0	0	10	2:53	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	10	8	1	1	24:8	25
2	Uganda	10	6	0	4	14:9	18
3	Mozambique	10	6	0	4	14:17	18
4	Guinea	10	4	3	3	11:8	15
5	Botswana	10	3	1	6	12:16	10
6	Somalia	10	0	1	9	3:20	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tunisia	10	9	1	0	22:0	28
2	Namibia	10	4	3	3	13:10	15
3	Liberia	10	4	3	3	13:11	15
4	Malawi	10	4	1	5	11:10	13
5	Equatorial Guinea	10	3	2	5	8:15	11
6	Sao Tome and Principe	10	1	0	9	5:26	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ghana	10	8	1	1	23:6	25
2	Madagascar	10	6	1	3	17:12	19
3	Mali	10	5	3	2	17:6	18
4	Comoros	10	5	0	5	12:13	15
5	Central Africa	10	2	2	6	11:24	8
6	Chad	10	0	1	9	5:24	1