Sport Picks
Sao Tome and Principe vs Sierra Leone
Africa
Africa Cup of Nations 2023 Stade Adrar, Agadir 
Match Events
7'
7'
Samura A.
Assist: Bundu M.
21'
21'
Koroma A.
28'
28'
Koroma A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-2, with Sierra Leone advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sierra Leone
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sierra Leone come out ahead of Sao Tome and Principe on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Sierra Leone taking it.
- Sierra Leone arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sierra Leone, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sao Tome and Principe Clean Sheet 11%
Sierra Leone Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sao Tome and Principe | Sierra Leone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 22 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 26, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Sao Tome and Principe vs Sierra Leone
0:2
Mar 22, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Sierra Leone vs Sao Tome and Principe
2:2
Jun 16, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations
Sierra Leone vs Sao Tome and Principe
4:2
Feb 29, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations
Sao Tome and Principe vs Sierra Leone
2:1
Apr 21, 2000 World Championship
Sierra Leone vs Sao Tome and Principe
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sao Tome and Principe Compare
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
Sierra Leone Compare
Top Goalscorer Samura A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Koroma A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sao Tome and Principe 10 / 100
Sierra Leone 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sao Tome and Principe Sierra Leone
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Sierra Leone conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Difficult form: Sierra Leone registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Sao Tome and Principe scored in 41% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sao Tome and Principe VS Sierra Leone
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sao Tome and Principe
(Home) 31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
27 Mar
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 3 Ethiopia
13 Oct
Sao Tome and Principe
1 : 0 Malawi
10 Oct
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 6 Tunisia
09 Sept
Namibia
3 : 0 Sao Tome and Principe
Page 1 of 6
27 Mar
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 3 Ethiopia
13 Oct
Sao Tome and Principe
1 : 0 Malawi
10 Oct
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 6 Tunisia
04 Sept
Sao Tome and Principe
2 : 3 Equatorial Guinea
09 Jun
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 1 Liberia
Page 1 of 3
Sierra Leone
(Away) 09 Jun
Liberia
3 : 1 Sierra Leone
06 Jun
Sierra Leone
1 : 0 Liberia
30 Mar
Azerbaijan
2 : 1 Sierra Leone
12 Oct
Djibouti
1 : 2 Sierra Leone
08 Oct
Sierra Leone
0 : 1 Burkina Faso
Page 1 of 6
09 Jun
Liberia
3 : 1 Sierra Leone
30 Mar
Azerbaijan
2 : 1 Sierra Leone
12 Oct
Djibouti
1 : 2 Sierra Leone
04 Sept
Guinea Bissau
1 : 1 Sierra Leone
25 Mar
Egypt
1 : 0 Sierra Leone
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nigeria | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Guinea Bissau | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 5 |
| 4 | Sao Tome and Principe | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:26 | 1 |
| 5 | Mauritius | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burkina Faso | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Togo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 4 | Eswatini | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameroon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Namibia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 3 | Burundi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Kenya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Guinea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Malawi | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | 5 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | 4 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ghana | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Angola | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Central Africa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Madagascar | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Algeria | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Tanzania | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Uganda | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Niger | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | 2 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mali | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Gambia | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Congo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 7 |
| 4 | South Sudan | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zambia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Comoros | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Lesotho | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:9 | 1 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D.R. Congo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Mauritania | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Gabon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Sudan | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:10 | 6 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 10)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tunisia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Botswana | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 4 | Libya | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | 4 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 11)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 3 | Liberia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | 1 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 12)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senegal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 14 |
| 2 | Mozambique | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 3 | Benin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | 5 |
| 4 | Rwanda | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Main)
