Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Tome and Principe vs Tunisia

World World

World Championship 2026 Stade Olympique de Rades
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Neves A.
10'
Talbi M.
36' Event
Chaouat F.
Assist: Valery Y.

AI Match Summary

Tunisia in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tunisia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sao Tome and Principe
28%
Draws
22%
Tunisia
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sao Tome and Principe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sao Tome and Principe haven't matched Tunisia's recent run of results.
  • Sao Tome and Principe are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Sao Tome and Principe Clean Sheet 10%
Tunisia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Tome and Principe Tunisia
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 3 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2025 World Championship
Sao Tome and Principe vs Tunisia
0:6
Nov 17, 2023 World Championship
Tunisia vs Sao Tome and Principe
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Tome and Principe Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Tunisia Compare

Top Goalscorer Saad E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chaouat F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Tome and Principe 47 / 100
Tunisia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Tome and Principe Tunisia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Tunisia lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sao Tome and Principe scored in 41% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Tunisia conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Tome and Principe VS Tunisia
0 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Egypt1082020:226
2Burkina Faso1063123:821
3Sierra Leone1043312:1015
4Guinea Bissau102448:1010
5Ethiopia102359:149
6Djibouti100195:331
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Senegal1073022:324
2D.R. Congo1071215:622
3Sudan103438:613
4Togo101545:108
5Mauritania101454:137
6South Sudan100553:195
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Africa1053215:918
2Nigeria1045115:817
3Benin1052312:1117
4Lesotho103349:1212
5Rwanda103255:911
6Zimbabwe100555:125
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cape Verde1072116:823
2Cameroon1054117:519
3Libya1044212:1016
4Angola102629:812
5Mauritius101367:176
6Eswatini100376:193
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Morocco880022:224
2Niger850311:1015
3Tanzania83146:710
4Zambia830510:109
5Congo80174:241
6Eritrea00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ivory Coast1082025:026
2Gabon1081122:925
3Gambia1041527:1813
4Kenya1033418:1412
5Burundi1031613:1310
6Seychelles1000102:530
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Algeria1081124:825
2Uganda1060414:918
3Mozambique1060414:1718
4Guinea1043311:815
5Botswana1031612:1610
6Somalia100193:201
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tunisia1091022:028
2Namibia1043313:1015
3Liberia1043313:1115
4Malawi1041511:1013
5Equatorial Guinea103258:1511
6Sao Tome and Principe101095:263
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ghana1081123:625
2Madagascar1061317:1219
3Mali1053217:618
4Comoros1050512:1315
5Central Africa1022611:248
6Chad100195:241