Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Vicente vs Jaboticabal Atletico

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Vicente play Jaboticabal Atletico in the Paulista A4 2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sao Vicente averaged 0.81 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. Jaboticabal Atletico averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Vicente won 1, Jaboticabal Atletico won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 26, 2012 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Sao Vicente and 1.25 for Jaboticabal Atletico. This points to a Jaboticabal Atletico double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sao Vicente
18%
Draws
54%
Jaboticabal Atletico
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Jaboticabal Atletico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Sao Vicente picked up more points recently compared to Jaboticabal Atletico.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Sao Vicente Clean Sheet 19%
Jaboticabal Atletico Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Vicente Jaboticabal Atletico
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 0.81 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2012 Paulista A4
Sao Vicente vs Jaboticabal Atletico
2:0
Aug 19, 2012 Paulista A4
Jaboticabal Atletico vs Sao Vicente
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Vicente 29 / 100
Jaboticabal Atletico 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Vicente Jaboticabal Atletico

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaboticabal Atletico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Jaboticabal Atletico & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao Vicente attacking → ← attacking Jaboticabal Atletico

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Vicente scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Jaboticabal Atletico let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sao Vicente went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Jaboticabal Atletico lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 45
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SC Barueri62316:79
2Votuporanguense62318:69
3Nacional SP62229:98
4SKA Brasil61236:75
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jacarei FC63218:411
2Fernandopolis62227:98
3Mauaense61324:56
4Sumare61329:106
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Novorizontino64208:114
2Jose Bonifacio EC63216:511
3Americo EC61144:74
4Guaruja61146:114
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Vicente63217:511
2Tupa62319:69
3Olimpia FC62315:39
4Jaboticabal Atletico61054:113