Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saoura vs Constantine

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 20 August 1955 Stadium, Algiers
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Saadi I.
23' Event
Saadi I.
45' Event
Omoyele T.

AI Match Summary

Saoura in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saoura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Saoura
35%
Draws
25%
Constantine
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Saoura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Saoura have won more games recently than Constantine.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Saoura Clean Sheet 20%
Constantine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saoura Constantine
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.33 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.74 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Ligue 1
Saoura vs Constantine
3:1
Jan 9, 2026 Ligue 1
Constantine vs Saoura
1:0
Jun 20, 2025 Ligue 1
Constantine vs Saoura
2:2
Dec 27, 2024 Ligue 1
Saoura vs Constantine
2:0
Mar 2, 2024 Ligue 1
Saoura vs Constantine
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saoura Compare

Top Goalscorer Saadi I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Constantine Compare

Top Goalscorer Omoyele T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saoura 32 / 100
Constantine 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saoura Constantine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saoura scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Saoura has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Constantine let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Saoura VS Constantine
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Saoura

(Home)
13 Sept
Horoya
3 : 1
Saoura
04 Sept
Saoura
1 : 0
Horoya
11 Aug
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
Saoura
06 Aug
Harrach
1 : 1
Saoura
05 Jun
Saoura
3 : 1
Constantine
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Constantine

(Away)
12 Sept
Constantine
3 : 0
ASO Chlef
05 Sept
CR Temouchent
1 : 1
Constantine
05 Jun
Saoura
3 : 1
Constantine
19 May
Constantine
2 : 2
Khenchela
07 May
Paradou
5 : 3
Constantine
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)