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Saoura vs Horoya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League
Saoura Logo

Saoura

1 - 0
FT
Horoya Logo

Horoya

Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Bentaleb O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Saoura
30%
Draws
54%
Horoya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Horoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Horoya have won more games recently than Saoura.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Horoya arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Saoura, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Saoura Clean Sheet 20%
Horoya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saoura Horoya
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 19
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 CAF Champions League
Horoya vs Saoura
3:1
Sep 4, 2026 CAF Champions League
Saoura vs Horoya
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saoura Compare

Top Goalscorer Bentaleb O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Horoya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saoura 36 / 100
Horoya 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saoura Horoya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horoya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Saoura's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Horoya conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Saoura went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saoura VS Horoya
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.2
63% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 40%
50% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Saoura

(Home)
02 Nov
CR Belouizdad
1 : 0
Saoura
24 Oct
Saoura
0 : 0
ES Ben Aknoun
18 Oct
Rouisset
1 : 0
Saoura
13 Oct
USM Alger
1 : 0
Saoura
08 Oct
Saoura
0 : 0
Olympique Akbou
Page 1 of 6

Horoya

(Away)
24 Oct
Al Merreikh
1 : 1
Horoya
18 Oct
Horoya
1 : 0
Al Merreikh
13 Sept
Horoya
3 : 1
Saoura
04 Sept
Saoura
1 : 0
Horoya
22 Apr
CI Kamsar
3 : 0
Horoya
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Wiliete 5
Foresters 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland 1
Nsingizini Hotspurs 0
UD Songo 2
Petro Atletico 3
Mangasport 3
African Stars 3
La Cure Waves 1
Orlando Pirates 3
15 de Agosto 5
Fomboni 0
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Simba 7
CFFA 3
Lijabatho 1
Gaborone Utd 2
Young Africans 3
Asswehly 4
KVZ 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
Aigles du Congo 1
APR 3
Port 1
Zamalek 6
EL Merriekh Bentiu 4
Heegan 0
Mahia 1
Pyramids 7
Aiglons 0
Sidama Bunna 3
Aigle Noir 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 3
Star Sport Academy 1
Medina United 1
TBD -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez 4
Rahimo 1
ASC Kara 2
ASEC Mimosas 3
Canchungo 0
Teungueth 2
Colombe 1
Stade Malien 0
Rangers International 3
Sobemap 2
Nigelec 0
MC Alger 5
San Pedro 3
Rivers United 3
Vipers 1
Nouadhibou 1
Saoura 2
Horoya 3
Al Merreikh 2
Power Dynamos 0
Medeama 1
Mazembe 4
Club Africain 3
Djoliba 2
Final
Wiliete 1
Mamelodi Sundowns 1
Scottland 2
Petro Atletico 3
African Stars 0
Orlando Pirates 5
15 de Agosto 1
Simba 9
CFFA 1
Young Africans 8
Asswehly 1
Esperance Tunis 2
APR 0
Zamalek 2
EL Merriekh Bentiu 0
Pyramids 5
Sidama Bunna 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 4
Star Sport Academy 0
Berkane 3
Maghreb Fez 3
ASEC Mimosas 2
Teungueth 0
Colombe 3
Rangers International 2
MC Alger 3
San Pedro 2
Nouadhibou 3
Horoya 2
Al Merreikh 1
Mazembe 1
Club Africain 2