Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saoura vs Khenchela

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 20 August Stadium, Bechar
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Litim O.
21'
Sub
Boumechra R. In: Morcely A.
Out: Boumechra R.
39'
Mouali H.

AI Match Summary

Saoura in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saoura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Saoura
35%
Draws
38%
Khenchela
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Khenchela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saoura lately — more wins on the board than Khenchela.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Saoura Clean Sheet 68%
Khenchela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saoura Khenchela
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Saoura vs Khenchela
3:0
Nov 22, 2025 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs Saoura
3:0
Feb 18, 2025 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs Saoura
1:3
Jan 2, 2025 Algeria Cup
Saoura vs Khenchela
2:1
Sep 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Saoura vs Khenchela
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saoura Compare

Top Goalscorer Wayou C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saadi I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Khenchela Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saoura 41 / 100
Khenchela 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saoura Khenchela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saoura Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Saoura stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Saoura found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Khenchela's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Saoura VS Khenchela
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Saoura

(Home)
11 Aug
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
Saoura
06 Aug
Harrach
1 : 1
Saoura
05 Jun
Saoura
3 : 1
Constantine
20 May
El Bayadh
0 : 0
Saoura
12 May
Saoura
0 : 0
CR Belouizdad
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Khenchela

(Away)
05 Jun
Khenchela
1 : 0
Rouisset
25 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
USM Alger
19 May
Constantine
2 : 2
Khenchela
08 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
El Bayadh
04 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1
Khenchela
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)