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Saoura vs Khenchela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1
Tue, Oct 6, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saoura host Khenchela in the Ligue 1. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Saoura at 1.22 goals for, 0.89 against; Khenchela at 1.15 for, 1.26 against. Past meetings favor Saoura slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 6, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 0.94, favoring Saoura. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Saoura
35%
Draws
40%
Khenchela
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Khenchela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Khenchela haven't matched Saoura's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Saoura Clean Sheet 20%
Khenchela Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saoura Khenchela
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.22 1.15
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Ligue 1
Saoura vs Khenchela
0:0
Apr 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Saoura vs Khenchela
3:0
Nov 22, 2025 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs Saoura
3:0
Feb 18, 2025 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs Saoura
1:3
Jan 2, 2025 Algeria Cup
Saoura vs Khenchela
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saoura 36 / 100
Khenchela 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saoura Khenchela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khenchela Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saoura found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Khenchela has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Saoura remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Saoura VS Khenchela
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saoura

(Home)
22 Sept
Biskra
0 : 0
Saoura
18 Sept
JS El Biar
4 : 0
Saoura
13 Sept
Horoya
3 : 1
Saoura
04 Sept
Saoura
1 : 0
Horoya
11 Aug
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
Saoura
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Khenchela

(Away)
07 Oct
CR Belouizdad
1 : 0
Khenchela
18 Sept
Khenchela
1 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
04 Sept
Khenchela
0 : 0
USM Alger
05 Jun
Khenchela
1 : 0
Rouisset
25 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
USM Alger
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CR Belouizdad 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Constantine 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
3 USM Alger 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
4 Oran 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
5 ES Ben Aknoun 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
6 JS El Biar 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
7 CR Temouchent 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
8 ES Setif 3 1 0 2 5:3 3
9 MC Alger 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Kabylie 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
11 Olympique Akbou 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
12 Rouisset 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
13 Khenchela 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
14 Biskra 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
15 ASO Chlef 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
16 Saoura 2 0 1 1 0:4 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)