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SAP vs Liberta

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League 2016/2017
SAP Logo

SAP

0 - 1
FT
Liberta Logo

Liberta

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Liberta in this ABFA Premier League 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Liberta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
SAP
20%
Draws
40%
Liberta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • SAP have won more games recently than Liberta.
  • SAP are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular ABFA Premier League 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
SAP Clean Sheet 15%
Liberta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SAP Liberta
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 2.16 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.53 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs SAP
4:8
Feb 3, 2019 ABFA Premier League
SAP vs Liberta
3:2
Nov 3, 2018 ABFA Premier League
SAP vs Liberta
0:1
Jan 2, 2017 ABFA Premier League
SAP vs Liberta
0:1
Nov 5, 2016 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs SAP
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SAP 84 / 100
Liberta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SAP Liberta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SAP scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Liberta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Liberta's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SAP VS Liberta
2.5 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 7
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

SAP

(Home)
05 May
SAP
1 : 5
Swetes
20 Apr
Garden Stars
1 : 1
SAP
14 Apr
Pigotts Bullets
4 : 1
SAP
08 Apr
All Saints United
1 : 0
SAP
31 Mar
SAP
1 : 2
Willikies
Page 1 of 7

Liberta

(Away)
26 Apr
Parham
7 : 1
Liberta
16 Apr
Empire FC
5 : 1
Liberta
10 Apr
Grenades
5 : 1
Liberta
24 Mar
Empire FC
7 : 2
Liberta
19 Mar
Pigotts Bullets
0 : 0
Liberta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parham 18 14 2 2 45:15 44
2 Greenbay Hoppers 18 11 4 3 41:16 37
3 Grenades 18 10 6 2 33:19 36
4 Old Road 18 9 5 4 40:27 32
5 Empire FC 18 6 5 7 31:29 23
6 Pigotts Bullets 18 7 2 9 22:27 23
7 Tryum 18 5 4 9 23:35 19
8 SAP 18 5 3 10 24:33 18
9 Liberta 18 4 0 14 15:46 12
10 Glanvilles FC 18 2 3 13 18:45 9
Relegation - ABFA Premier League 2016/2017 (Relegation)