Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saprissa vs Guadalupe Prediction & H2H Stats

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Rodriguez T.
45'
Demetrius T.
46'
Sub
Morera G. M. In: Ruiz J.
Out: Morera G. M.

AI Match Summary

Saprissa in this Primera Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saprissa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Saprissa
30%
Draws
16%
Guadalupe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saprissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Saprissa have won more games recently than Guadalupe.
  • Win probability leans Saprissa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Saprissa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 68%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saprissa Guadalupe
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 23 4
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 2.27 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.16 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Guadalupe
5:0
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Saprissa
0:2
Nov 2, 2025 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Saprissa
1:3
Sep 14, 2025 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Guadalupe
3:1
Jul 14, 2023 Club Friendly
Guadalupe vs Saprissa
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saprissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Paradela L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Guadalupe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saprissa 95 / 100
Guadalupe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saprissa Guadalupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saprissa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saprissa's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Guadalupe let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Saprissa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saprissa VS Guadalupe
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Saprissa

(Home)
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
Page 1 of 8

Guadalupe

(Away)
27 Sept
Guadalupe
2 : 2
Pitbulls
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
13 Sept
Santa Ana
2 : 1
Guadalupe
06 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 1
CS Uruguay
29 Aug
Cariari Pococi
3 : 3
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Herediano 18 12 2 4 26:10 38
2 Saprissa 18 10 4 4 34:19 34
3 Liberia 18 10 3 5 24:18 33
4 Cartagines 18 10 2 6 26:20 32
5 Alajuelense 18 7 5 6 28:20 26
6 Sporting FC 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
7 San Carlos 18 6 3 9 21:25 21
8 Puntarenas FC 18 4 4 10 22:29 16
9 Zeledon 18 2 8 8 19:30 14
10 Guadalupe 18 3 5 10 13:37 14
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)