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Saprissa vs Sporting FC

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá, San José
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saprissa host Sporting FC in the Primera Division. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Saprissa at 2.12 goals for, 1.21 against; Sporting FC at 1.31 for, 1.22 against. Head-to-head, Saprissa have won 2 to Sporting FC's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 4:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.38) point toward Saprissa. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Saprissa
15%
Draws
54%
Sporting FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting FC haven't matched Saprissa's recent run of results.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Sporting FC taking it.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 17%
Sporting FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saprissa Sporting FC
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 20 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.12 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Saprissa
4:2
Apr 16, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Sporting FC vs Saprissa
1:3
Mar 6, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Sporting FC
1:2
Jan 23, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Saprissa
0:1
Dec 6, 2025 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Saprissa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saprissa 20 / 100
Sporting FC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saprissa Sporting FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saprissa's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sporting FC conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Saprissa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saprissa VS Sporting FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Saprissa

(Home)
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
Page 1 of 7

Sporting FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Zeledon
1 : 2
Sporting FC
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
07 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Sporting FC
29 Aug
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Inter San Carlos
23 Aug
Herediano
0 : 3
Sporting FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 9 7 0 2 20:10 21
2 Cartagines 9 6 0 3 18:10 18
3 Sporting FC 9 5 2 2 16:8 17
4 San Carlos 9 5 0 4 8:9 15
5 Alajuelense 9 4 2 3 15:10 14
6 Inter San Carlos 9 4 2 3 9:12 14
7 Puntarenas FC 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
8 Zeledon 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
9 Herediano 9 2 1 6 8:14 7
10 Escorpiones 9 1 1 7 6:15 4
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)