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Saprissa vs Zeledon

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Alvarado J.
47' Event
Sinclair O.
55' Event
Alvarado J.

AI Match Summary

Saprissa in this Primera Division matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saprissa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Saprissa
30%
Draws
29%
Zeledon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saprissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saprissa lately — more wins on the board than Zeledon.
  • Win probability leans Saprissa's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Saprissa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 20%
Zeledon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saprissa Zeledon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.17 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Zeledon
5:1
Apr 5, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Zeledon
4:0
Jan 29, 2026 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Saprissa
3:3
Sep 23, 2025 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Zeledon
3:0
Jul 27, 2025 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Saprissa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saprissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Paradela L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sinclair O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Zeledon Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarado J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saprissa 49 / 100
Zeledon 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saprissa Zeledon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saprissa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saprissa found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Zeledon conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Saprissa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saprissa VS Zeledon
1.88 Goals Scored 0.71
1 Goals Conceded 0.71
88% Over 1.5 29%
75% Over 2.5 14%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Saprissa

(Home)
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
31 Aug
Saprissa
2 : 1
Escorpiones
28 Aug
Olimpia
2 : 1
Saprissa
23 Aug
Inter San Carlos
1 : 0
Saprissa
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Zeledon

(Away)
05 Sept
Herediano
2 : 3
Zeledon
30 Aug
Zeledon
1 : 1
Alajuelense
22 Aug
Puntarenas FC
1 : 0
Zeledon
16 Aug
Zeledon
0 : 1
Inter San Carlos
09 Aug
Escorpiones
0 : 0
Zeledon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 7 6 0 1 16:6 18
2 Cartagines 7 5 0 2 15:8 15
3 Inter San Carlos 7 4 1 2 8:6 13
4 Sporting FC 7 3 2 2 10:5 11
5 Alajuelense 7 3 2 2 9:7 11
6 San Carlos 7 3 0 4 5:9 9
7 Zeledon 7 2 2 3 6:10 8
8 Puntarenas FC 7 2 1 4 6:12 7
9 Herediano 7 1 1 5 6:12 4
10 Escorpiones 7 1 1 5 6:12 4
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)