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Sarakinos Volos vs Ethnikos Neou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sarakinos Volos host Ethnikos Neou in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Ethnikos Neou have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Sarakinos Volos have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.32. Past meetings favor Ethnikos Neou slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 1.02, favoring Ethnikos Neou. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sarakinos Volos
15%
Draws
40%
Ethnikos Neou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarakinos Volos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Ethnikos Neou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sarakinos Volos Clean Sheet 20%
Ethnikos Neou Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarakinos Volos Ethnikos Neou
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 11 22
Draws 3 5
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.32 2.15
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Sarakinos Volos vs Ethnikos Neou
0:4
Oct 19, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Neou vs Sarakinos Volos
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarakinos Volos 31 / 100
Ethnikos Neou 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarakinos Volos Ethnikos Neou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarakinos Volos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarakinos Volos scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Ethnikos Neou conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Sarakinos Volos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarakinos Volos VS Ethnikos Neou
0.71 Goals Scored 1.75
0.29 Goals Conceded 1.38
29% Over 1.5 75%
14% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarakinos Volos

(Home)
04 Oct
Sarakinos Volos
1 : 0
Pierikos
26 Sept
Karitsa
2 : 1
Sarakinos Volos
08 Apr
Sarakinos Volos
1 : 0
Kozani FC
05 Apr
Eordaikos
0 : 0
Sarakinos Volos
01 Apr
Sarakinos Volos
2 : 0
Evosmou
Page 1 of 6

Ethnikos Neou

(Away)
04 Oct
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 0
Feraios
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
14 May
Ethnikos Neou
3 : 2
Panthrakikos
10 May
Apollon Kalamaria
3 : 2
Ethnikos Neou
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AO Trikala 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Anthoupoli 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Ermis Exochis 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
4 Elassona 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
5 Karitsa 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Sarakinos Volos 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Pierikos 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
8 Ethnikos Neou 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
9 Feraios 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
10 Digenis Neochori 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
11 AE Iraklis Larissa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (Losers stage)