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Sarakinos Volos vs Kozani FC

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sarakinos Volos play Kozani FC in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sarakinos Volos averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Kozani FC averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. In past meetings, Sarakinos Volos won 1, Kozani FC won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 8, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Sarakinos Volos and 1.44 for Kozani FC. This points to a Kozani FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sarakinos Volos
24%
Draws
39%
Kozani FC
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Kozani FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Sarakinos Volos picked up more points recently compared to Kozani FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Sarakinos Volos Clean Sheet 16%
Kozani FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarakinos Volos Kozani FC
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Sarakinos Volos vs Kozani FC
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Sarakinos Volos vs Kozani FC
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Kozani FC vs Sarakinos Volos
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarakinos Volos 37 / 100
Kozani FC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarakinos Volos Kozani FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kozani FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sarakinos Volos attacking → ← attacking Kozani FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarakinos Volos scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Kozani FC let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Sarakinos Volos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kozani FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 44
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75