Sport Picks
Sarasota Paradise vs Greenville Triumph - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Premier Sports Campus, Lakewood Ranch, FL 
Match Events
4'
4'
Rosa A.
Assist: Bolanos J.
13'
13'
Krueger B.
42'
42'
Gall R.
Assist: Walker A.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between Sarasota Paradise and Greenville Triumph finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarasota Paradise.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarasota Paradise
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sarasota Paradise come out ahead of Greenville Triumph on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Sarasota Paradise's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sarasota Paradise Clean Sheet 20%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sarasota Paradise | Greenville Triumph |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 USL League One
Sarasota Paradise vs Greenville Triumph
6:0
Jul 8, 2026 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Sarasota Paradise
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sarasota Paradise Compare
Top Goalscorer Roed S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rosa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22
Greenville Triumph Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sarasota Paradise 85 / 100
Greenville Triumph 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sarasota Paradise Greenville Triumph
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sarasota Paradise Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Greenville Triumph's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.
Greenville Triumph's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Sarasota Paradise found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Sarasota Paradise VS Greenville Triumph
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Sarasota Paradise
(Home) 10 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
3 : 2 Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3 Charlotte Independence
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
3 : 2 Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3 Charlotte Independence
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
05 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1 Spokane Velocity
19 Aug
Sarasota Paradise
3 : 2 Chattanooga Red Wolves
Page 1 of 3
Greenville Triumph
(Away) 03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0 Greenville Triumph
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1 Corpus Christi FC
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0 Greenville Triumph
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
05 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 1 Greenville Triumph
23 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1 Greenville Triumph
13 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Greenville Triumph
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53:32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44:55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
