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Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sarasota Paradise
30%
Draws
23%
Portland Hearts of Pine
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sarasota Paradise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sarasota Paradise lately — more wins on the board than Portland Hearts of Pine.
  • Model gives Sarasota Paradise a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Sarasota Paradise have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Sarasota Paradise Clean Sheet 19%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarasota Paradise Portland Hearts of Pine
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Sarasota Paradise
1:4
Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2:2
Jul 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Sarasota Paradise
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 USL League One
Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarasota Paradise 85 / 100
Portland Hearts of Pine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarasota Paradise Portland Hearts of Pine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarasota Paradise Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Hearts of Pine has conceded goals in 97% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Sarasota Paradise scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Sarasota Paradise has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sarasota Paradise VS Portland Hearts of Pine
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarasota Paradise

(Home)
10 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
3 : 2
Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3
Charlotte Independence
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4
Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0
Greenville Triumph
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1
Sarasota Paradise
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Portland Hearts of Pine

(Away)
10 Oct
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3
Portland Hearts of Pine
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4
Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1
Portland Hearts of Pine
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0
AV Alta FC
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