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Sarasota Paradise vs Swan City

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2024 game between Sarasota Paradise and Swan City finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarasota Paradise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sarasota Paradise
20%
Draws
38%
Swan City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sarasota Paradise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sarasota Paradise come out ahead of Swan City on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Sarasota Paradise taking it.
  • Regular USL League Two 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sarasota Paradise Clean Sheet 14%
Swan City Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarasota Paradise Swan City
Matches Played 31 24
Wins 10 3
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 2.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2024 USL League Two
Sarasota Paradise vs Swan City
3:2
May 25, 2024 USL League Two
Swan City vs Sarasota Paradise
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarasota Paradise 41 / 100
Swan City 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarasota Paradise Swan City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarasota Paradise's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Swan City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 24 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Sarasota Paradise has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sarasota Paradise VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarasota Paradise

(Home)
11 Jul
Sarasota Paradise
0 : 5
Miami FC
08 Jul
Greenville Triumph
0 : 0
Sarasota Paradise
03 Jul
Richmond Kickers
0 : 0
Sarasota Paradise
21 Jun
Corpus Christi FC
4 : 1
Sarasota Paradise
13 Jun
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 0
Union Omaha
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Swan City

(Away)
30 Jun
Swan City
1 : 0
Weston
26 Jun
Swan City
1 : 2
Tampa Bay U23
23 Jun
Swan City
0 : 3
Miami AC
19 Jun
Swan City
1 : 2
Miami AC
16 Jun
Tampa Bay U23
1 : 0
Swan City
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