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Saratov vs Alania Vladikavkaz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Stadion Lokomotiv, Saratov
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Shubin K.
15' Event
Abdulkhamidov M.
(Penalty)
32' Event
Sasin D.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division A Gold game between Saratov and Alania Vladikavkaz finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saratov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Saratov
35%
Draws
52%
Alania Vladikavkaz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alania Vladikavkaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alania Vladikavkaz come out ahead of Saratov on wins alone.
  • Alania Vladikavkaz are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Saratov Clean Sheet 14%
Alania Vladikavkaz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saratov Alania Vladikavkaz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.86 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Alania Vladikavkaz vs Saratov
2:0
Aug 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Saratov vs Alania Vladikavkaz
2:1
Mar 22, 2025 FNL
Alania Vladikavkaz vs Saratov
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 FNL
Saratov vs Alania Vladikavkaz
0:1
Mar 10, 2024 FNL
Alania Vladikavkaz vs Saratov
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saratov Compare

Top Goalscorer Sasin D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kostin V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Alania Vladikavkaz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saratov 23 / 100
Alania Vladikavkaz 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saratov Alania Vladikavkaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alania Vladikavkaz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alania Vladikavkaz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Saratov's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Saratov has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saratov VS Alania Vladikavkaz
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Saratov

(Home)
04 Oct
Alania Vladikavkaz
2 : 0
Saratov
27 Sept
Saratov
0 : 0
Mashuk
21 Sept
Kirov
3 : 1
Saratov
13 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
1 : 1
Saratov
09 Sept
Saratov
1 : 2
Leningradets
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Alania Vladikavkaz

(Away)
10 Oct
Kirov
0 : 1
Alania Vladikavkaz
04 Oct
Alania Vladikavkaz
2 : 0
Saratov
27 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
4 : 4
Alania Vladikavkaz
20 Sept
Alania Vladikavkaz
0 : 2
D. Bryansk
12 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 0
Alania Vladikavkaz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
2 Kirov 13 7 3 3 14:10 24
3 Alania Vladikavkaz 13 4 6 3 17:12 18
4 Sibir Novosibirsk 12 5 3 4 17:14 18
5 D. Bryansk 12 4 4 4 11:15 16
6 Mashuk 13 2 9 2 9:9 15
7 Dynamo Vladivostok 12 3 5 4 8:9 14
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 12 1 9 2 12:13 12
9 Saratov 12 1 6 5 10:19 9
10 Kaluga 13 0 7 6 6:16 7
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)