Sport Picks
Saratov vs S. Kostroma Prediction & H2H Stats
Russia
FNL 2025/2026 Stadion Lokomotiv, Saratov 
Match Events
27'
27'
Butaev A.
29'
29'
Churikov I.
33'
33'
Kalmykov A.
AI Match Summary
The FNL 2025/2026 game between Saratov and S. Kostroma finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
14%
30%
56%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: S. Kostroma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Saratov haven't matched S. Kostroma's recent run of results.
- 56% — that's where the model lands on S. Kostroma taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Saratov Clean Sheet 16%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Saratov | S. Kostroma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.89 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 FNL
Saratov vs S. Kostroma
1:1
Sep 8, 2025 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Saratov
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Saratov Compare
Top Goalscorer Churikov I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
S. Kostroma Compare
Top Goalscorer Kalmykov A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Saratov 19 / 100
S. Kostroma 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Saratov S. Kostroma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick S. Kostroma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Saratov scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
S. Kostroma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Saratov went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Saratov VS S. Kostroma
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Saratov
(Home) 27 Sept
Saratov
0 : 0 Mashuk
21 Sept
Kirov
3 : 1 Saratov
13 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
1 : 1 Saratov
09 Sept
Saratov
1 : 2 Leningradets
05 Sept
Saratov
2 : 2 D. Bryansk
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Saratov
0 : 0 Mashuk
09 Sept
Saratov
1 : 2 Leningradets
05 Sept
Saratov
2 : 2 D. Bryansk
22 Aug
Saratov
2 : 2 Sibir Novosibirsk
12 Aug
Saratov
3 : 1 Ilpar FC
Page 1 of 3
S. Kostroma
(Away) 26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2 Ural
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0 Neftekhimik
08 Sept
Ryazan
0 : 2 S. Kostroma
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
08 Sept
Ryazan
0 : 2 S. Kostroma
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
21 Aug
Torpedo Moscow
3 : 0 S. Kostroma
09 Aug
SKA Khabarovsk
1 : 3 S. Kostroma
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:28 | 68 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 44:22 | 68 |
| 3 | Ural | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 51:31 | 61 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 47:26 | 56 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Yenisey | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | 49 |
| 7 | S. Kostroma | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:41 | 49 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 34:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Torpedo Moscow | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Chelyabinsk | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:41 | 43 |
| 12 | SKA Khabarovsk | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37:45 | 42 |
| 13 | Arsenal Tula | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42:44 | 39 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:48 | 37 |
| 15 | Ufa | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:49 | 35 |
| 17 | Saratov | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 16:44 | 26 |
| 18 | FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
