Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saraykoy 1926 vs Afyonspor

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 3 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saraykoy 1926 play Afyonspor in the TFF 3. Lig Group 3 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Saraykoy 1926 averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Afyonspor averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Saraykoy 1926 won 0, Afyonspor won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 19, 2017 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Saraykoy 1926 and 0.86 for Afyonspor. This points to a Afyonspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Saraykoy 1926
29%
Draws
46%
Afyonspor
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Afyonspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Saraykoy 1926 picked up more points recently compared to Afyonspor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Saraykoy 1926 Clean Sheet 25%
Afyonspor Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saraykoy 1926 Afyonspor
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 3 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.67 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2017 3. Lig Group 3
Saraykoy 1926 vs Afyonspor
1:1
Oct 9, 2016 3. Lig Group 3
Afyonspor vs Saraykoy 1926
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saraykoy 1926 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sirin S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Afyonspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Karakullukcu O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saraykoy 1926 28 / 100
Afyonspor 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saraykoy 1926 Afyonspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Afyonspor or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Saraykoy 1926 attacking → ← attacking Afyonspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saraykoy 1926 scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Afyonspor let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Saraykoy 1926 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Afyonspor lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 34
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Afyonspor34228462:2574
2Sakaryaspor34208666:2768
3Darica Genclerbirligi34215860:2868
4Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)341861054:4360
5Bayrampasa341511852:3856
623 Elazig FK341412851:3754
7Trabzon FK341481242:3450
8Tarsus341391257:5348
9Cankaya FK341261638:4942
10Muglaspor341191441:5442
11Orhangazispor341251740:4341
12Sultanbeyli3410101438:4940
13Izmir Coruhlu341091531:4439
1412 Bingol Spor349121331:4239
15Payasspor347141326:4035
16Maltepespor34881823:4932
17Saraykoy 1926344102026:5422
18Orduspor34781936:6520