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Sarbogard vs Budaorsi SC

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Budaorsi SC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sarbogard
15%
Draws
51%
Budaorsi SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Budaorsi SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Budaorsi SC come out ahead of Sarbogard on wins alone.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Budaorsi SC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Budaorsi SC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sarbogard Clean Sheet 10%
Budaorsi SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarbogard Budaorsi SC
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 4 14
Draws 1 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.06 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2024 Hungarian Cup
Sarbogard vs Budaorsi SC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarbogard 29 / 100
Budaorsi SC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarbogard Budaorsi SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarbogard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Budaorsi SC conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Budaorsi SC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sarbogard scored in 59% of their last 17 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarbogard VS Budaorsi SC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarbogard

(Home)
05 Sept
Sarbogard
2 : 1
Szekszardi
29 Aug
Ferencvaros II
1 : 0
Sarbogard
26 Aug
Sarbogard
1 : 1
Siofok
21 Aug
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
Sarbogard
16 Aug
Majosi
3 : 0
Sarbogard
Page 1 of 4

Budaorsi SC

(Away)
05 Sept
Siofok
4 : 1
Budaorsi SC
29 Aug
Budaorsi SC
1 : 3
Budafoki MTE
26 Aug
PTE-PEAC
6 : 1
Budaorsi SC
15 Aug
Budaorsi SC
1 : 0
MTK Budapest II
12 Aug
Budaorsi SC
3 : 1
Ivancsa
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Sarvari FC 1
Zalalovoi 0
Vitnyed 0
Balatonfuredi 3
Babolnai 1
Sopron 16
VSC Veszprem 1
Komaromi VSE 0
Diosjeno 1
MVSC 4
Eger 2
Senyo 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soroksar -
Rabatotfalui 0
Zalaszentgroti 6
Balatonalmadi 3
Haladas 0
Gyorszentivan 2
Papai Perutz 4
Kiraly SE 0
Mori SE 1
Nagybajom 2
Mohacsi 3
III. Keruleti TVE 3
Bicskei 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Csakvari -
Bekescsaba 1912 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Debrecen -
Peti 1
Kelen 2
Himeshaza 0
Szekszardi 12
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Honved -
Szakonyfalu 0
Mezoors 22
Sopte 0
Abda 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paks -
Jaszfenyszarui 5
Baktaloranthaza 0
Hehalom 0
Karcagi 4
Faddi 3
Diosdi TC 0
Dunaujvaros 3
Unione 1
Kozarmisleny SE -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kecskemeti TE -
Pecsvarad 0
Somogysard 3
Kakasd 0
Pecsi MFC 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szentlorinc SE -
Maklar 1
Ujfeherto 3
Gesztely 0
Hatvan FC 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Bonyhad 0
PTE-PEAC 1
Nagykanizsa FC 1
Gardony Varosi 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajka -
Vasas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
Testveriseg 1
Algyo SK 0
OMTK-ULE 1
Tiszafoldvar 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tatabanya -
Ustokos Bacsa 0
Koronco 4
Nyergesujfalu 0
Haladas VSE 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Hajdunanas 0
Salgotarjani BTC 1
Vizslasi 0
Putnok VSE 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyor -
Urkut 2
Csesztreg 4
Teskand 2
Mosonmagyarovari TE 9
Sarbogard 1
Budaorsi SC 2
Harkany SE 1
Majosi 5
Inter 04 2
Patka 4
Viadukt SE Biatorbagy 0
Kaposvar 2
Karancslapujto 2
Hajdusamsoni 1
Hidasnemeti 0
Tiszafuredi 19
Budafoki MTE -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Nyiradony 2
Godollo 3
Tallya 0
Cigand SE 3
Bakonycsernye 1
Sarisapi Banyasz 0
Tihanyi 2
Csornai 3
Nagyatadi 3
Siofok 0
Erdi 2
Dunafoldvar 0
Bode 0
Vep VSE 6
Labatlani 0
Dorogi FC 5
Sarospataki TC 1
Monostorpalyi 5
Lorinci 0
Debreceni EAC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Femalk-Dunavarsany 2
Gyulai Termal 1
Cegledi 1
Csepel 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ujpest -
1908 SZAC KSE 5
Torokszentmiklos 0
Pilisi 1
Martfui LSE 3
Kalocsai FC 0
Tiszasziget 2
FC Dabas 0
ESMTK Budapest 2
Szegedi 0
BKV Elore 2
Gyomaendrodi 0
Dunaharaszti MTK 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
Szajol 0
Szolnoki MAV 4
Monori 1
Penzugyor SE 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Videoton -
Kazincbarcika -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DVTK -
Gyongyosi 0
Fuzesabony 2
Borsod SK 1
Tiszaujvaros 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Mezomegyer 4
Lajosmizsei 2
REAC 0
Hodmezovasarhely 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Nagyecsed 0
Tarpa 1
Nyirbator 0
Mateszalkai MTK 4
Harta SE 6
Fuzesgyarmati 0
Janoshalmi 4
Kunbaja 0
Marcali 2
Ercsi 3
Bolyi 1
Ivancsa 4
Duna SK 3
Korosladany MSK 0
Sandorfalvi 2
Tiszakecske 4
1/64-finals
Sarvari FC 1
Balatonfuredi 0
Sopron 2
VSC Veszprem 1
MVSC 2
Eger 3
TBD -
Soroksar -
Zalaszentgroti 0
Balatonalmadi 1
Papai Perutz 5
Mori SE 2
Mohacsi 0
III. Keruleti TVE 3
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
TBD -
TBD -
Csakvari -
Bekescsaba 1912 -
TBD -
TBD -
Debrecen -
Kelen 2
Szekszardi 0
TBD -
Honved -
Mezoors 2
Abda 0
TBD -
Paks -
Jaszfenyszarui 0
Karcagi 4
Faddi 1
Dunaujvaros 11
Kozarmisleny SE -
TBD -
TBD -
Kecskemeti TE -
Somogysard 1
Pecsi MFC 9
TBD -
Szentlorinc SE -
Ujfeherto 0
Hatvan FC 3
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
PTE-PEAC 1
Nagykanizsa FC 2
TBD -
Ajka -
Vasas -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
Testveriseg 1
Tiszafoldvar 0
TBD -
Tatabanya -
Koronco 2
Haladas VSE 4
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Salgotarjani BTC 0
Putnok VSE 1
TBD -
Gyor -
Csesztreg 1
Mosonmagyarovari TE 2
Budaorsi SC 3
Majosi 2
Patka 2
Kaposvar 9
Karancslapujto 1
Tiszafuredi 4
Budafoki MTE -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Godollo 1
Cigand SE 0
Bakonycsernye 1
Csornai 9
Nagyatadi 1
Erdi 3
Vep VSE 1
Dorogi FC 3
Monostorpalyi 0
Debreceni EAC 3
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Femalk-Dunavarsany 4
Csepel 2
TBD -
Ujpest -
1908 SZAC KSE 2
Martfui LSE 1
Tiszasziget 1
ESMTK Budapest 2
BKV Elore 5
Dunaharaszti MTK 0
TBD -
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
Szolnoki MAV 2
Monori 3
TBD -
Videoton -
Kazincbarcika -
TBD -
TBD -
DVTK -
Fuzesabony 1
Tiszaujvaros 0
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Mezomegyer 1
Hodmezovasarhely 4
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Tarpa 2
Mateszalkai MTK 1
Harta SE 3
Janoshalmi 2
Ercsi 2
Ivancsa 7
Duna SK 0
Tiszakecske 15
1/32-finals
Sarvari FC 0
Sopron 2
Eger 0
Soroksar 4
Balatonalmadi 1
Papai Perutz 0
III. Keruleti TVE 0
Kisvarda FC 1
Mezokovesd-Zsory 3
Csakvari 1
Bekescsaba 1912 0
Debrecen 4
Kelen 1
Honved 5
Mezoors 0
Paks 3
Karcagi 6
Dunaujvaros 0
Kozarmisleny SE 0
Kecskemeti TE 4
Pecsi MFC 3
Szentlorinc SE 4
Hatvan FC 0
Zalaegerszegi 4
Nagykanizsa FC 2
Ajka 3
Vasas 1
Nyiregyhaza 2
Testveriseg 0
Tatabanya 2
Haladas VSE 0
Puskas Academy 7
Putnok VSE 2
Gyor 6
Mosonmagyarovari TE 3
Budaorsi SC 2
Kaposvar 1
Tiszafuredi 2
Budafoki MTE 0
Ferencvaros 3
Godollo 2
Csornai 1
Erdi 0
Dorogi FC 1
Debreceni EAC 0
BVSC-Zuglo 2
Femalk-Dunavarsany 0
Ujpest 7
1908 SZAC KSE 1
ESMTK Budapest 2
BKV Elore 1
Gyirmot FC Gyor 5
Monori 0
Videoton 2
Kazincbarcika 2
DVTK 4
Fuzesabony 1
Szeged-Csanad GA 2
Hodmezovasarhely 0
MTK Budapest 2
Tarpa 5
Harta SE 0
Ivancsa 4
Tiszakecske 0
1/16-finals
Sopron 3
Soroksar 2
Balatonalmadi 0
Kisvarda FC 4
Mezokovesd-Zsory 1
Debrecen 0
Honved 1
Paks 5
Karcagi 1
Kecskemeti TE 0
Szentlorinc SE 1
Zalaegerszegi 2
Ajka 3
Nyiregyhaza 4
Tatabanya 2
Puskas Academy 3
Gyor 3
Mosonmagyarovari TE 0
Tiszafuredi 1
Ferencvaros 2
Godollo 1
Dorogi FC 2
BVSC-Zuglo 0
Ujpest 1
ESMTK Budapest 1
Gyirmot FC Gyor 3
Videoton 2
DVTK 1
Szeged-Csanad GA 0
MTK Budapest 3
Tarpa 0
Ivancsa 5
1/8-finals
Sopron 0
Kisvarda FC 3
Mezokovesd-Zsory 0
Paks 3
Karcagi 1
Zalaegerszegi 2
Nyiregyhaza 1
Puskas Academy 0
Gyor 3
Ferencvaros 4
Dorogi FC 0
Ujpest 1
Gyirmot FC Gyor 0
Videoton 2
MTK Budapest 2
Ivancsa 0
Quarter-finals
Kisvarda FC 0
Paks 1
Zalaegerszegi 2
Nyiregyhaza 0
Ferencvaros 3
Ujpest 1
Videoton 2
MTK Budapest 4
Semi-finals
Paks 2
Zalaegerszegi 1
Ferencvaros 3
MTK Budapest 1
Final
Paks 2
Ferencvaros 1