Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sarbogard vs Dunaharaszti MTK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sarbogard host Dunaharaszti MTK in the NB III - Southwest. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Dunaharaszti MTK have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while Sarbogard have conceded 2.74 and scored 1.04. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.69 - 2.75) back Dunaharaszti MTK to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Sarbogard
15%
Draws
78%
Dunaharaszti MTK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dunaharaszti MTK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Dunaharaszti MTK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Dunaharaszti MTK's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sarbogard Clean Sheet 10%
Dunaharaszti MTK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarbogard Dunaharaszti MTK
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 2 7
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.04 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.74 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarbogard 10 / 100
Dunaharaszti MTK 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarbogard Dunaharaszti MTK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunaharaszti MTK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dunaharaszti MTK conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Sarbogard's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Solid form: Sarbogard remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Dunaharaszti MTK registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarbogard VS Dunaharaszti MTK
1 Goals Scored 2.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarbogard

(Home)
31 Oct
MTK Budapest II
2 : 1
Sarbogard
24 Oct
Sarbogard
0 : 6
Paks II
17 Oct
Kaposvar
7 : 0
Sarbogard
03 Oct
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Sarbogard
26 Sept
Sarbogard
1 : 1
Budaorsi SC
Page 1 of 5

Dunaharaszti MTK

(Away)
31 Oct
Dunaharaszti MTK
0 : 2
Paks II
17 Oct
Dunaharaszti MTK
3 : 0
Budaorsi SC
10 Oct
Szekszardi
1 : 4
Dunaharaszti MTK
03 Oct
Dunaharaszti MTK
2 : 1
Siofok
26 Sept
Budafoki MTE
2 : 4
Dunaharaszti MTK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 13 12 1 0 40:4 37
2 Kaposvar 13 9 1 3 37:17 28
3 Ivancsa 13 8 0 5 31:24 24
4 Ferencvaros II 13 7 3 3 32:18 24
5 Majosi 13 7 3 3 30:27 24
6 Dunaharaszti MTK 13 6 2 5 24:22 20
7 Erdi 13 5 4 4 29:28 19
8 MTK Budapest II 12 6 0 6 31:25 18
9 Budafoki MTE 13 5 3 5 24:22 18
10 Siofok 13 5 2 6 22:18 17
11 PTE-PEAC 13 4 4 5 17:21 16
12 Paks II 13 3 4 6 28:24 13
13 Budaorsi SC 13 3 3 7 20:40 12
14 Sarbogard 13 1 2 10 10:39 5
15 Szekszardi 13 0 0 13 6:52 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)