Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sarbogard vs Pecsi MFC

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Babati B.
45' Event
Babati B.
51' Event
Babati B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest game between Sarbogard and Pecsi MFC finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pecsi MFC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Sarbogard
15%
Draws
67%
Pecsi MFC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pecsi MFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Pecsi MFC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Pecsi MFC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sarbogard Clean Sheet 10%
Pecsi MFC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarbogard Pecsi MFC
Matches Played 17 28
Wins 4 23
Draws 1 4
Losses 12 1
Goals Scored 1.06 2.68
Goals Conceded 2.29 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Hungarian Cup
Pecsi MFC vs Sarbogard
3:0
Aug 12, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Sarbogard vs Pecsi MFC
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarbogard Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Pecsi MFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Babati B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Adamcsek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarbogard 10 / 100
Pecsi MFC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarbogard Pecsi MFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pecsi MFC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Sarbogard found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (17 games).

Pecsi MFC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Sarbogard stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarbogard VS Pecsi MFC
0.5 Goals Scored 2.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarbogard

(Home)
05 Sept
Sarbogard
2 : 1
Szekszardi
29 Aug
Ferencvaros II
1 : 0
Sarbogard
26 Aug
Sarbogard
1 : 1
Siofok
21 Aug
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
Sarbogard
16 Aug
Majosi
3 : 0
Sarbogard
Page 1 of 4

Pecsi MFC

(Away)
12 Sept
Pecsi MFC
3 : 2
Tiszakecske
05 Sept
Kaposvar
0 : 1
Pecsi MFC
30 Aug
Pecsi MFC
7 : 0
Ivancsa
26 Aug
Erdi
1 : 2
Pecsi MFC
21 Aug
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
Sarbogard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 7 7 0 0 24:2 21
2 Kaposvar 6 5 0 1 19:5 15
3 Budafoki MTE 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
4 PTE-PEAC 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
5 MTK Budapest II 6 4 0 2 21:9 12
6 Ferencvaros II 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
7 Siofok 7 3 2 2 12:8 11
8 Majosi 7 3 1 3 13:16 10
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 7 2 1 4 10:15 7
10 Budaorsi SC 7 2 1 4 10:24 7
11 Ivancsa 6 2 0 4 10:16 6
12 Erdi 6 1 3 2 13:13 6
13 Sarbogard 7 1 1 5 4:15 4
14 Paks II 7 0 3 4 9:17 3
15 Szekszardi 7 0 0 7 2:25 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)