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Sarbogard vs Pecsi MFC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Babati B.
45' Event
Babati B.
51' Event
Babati B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest game between Sarbogard and Pecsi MFC finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pecsi MFC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
Sarbogard
15%
Draws
80%
Pecsi MFC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pecsi MFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Pecsi MFC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Pecsi MFC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sarbogard Clean Sheet 10%
Pecsi MFC Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarbogard Pecsi MFC
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 4 25
Draws 2 4
Losses 17 1
Goals Scored 1.04 2.6
Goals Conceded 2.74 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Hungarian Cup
Pecsi MFC vs Sarbogard
3:0
Aug 12, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Sarbogard vs Pecsi MFC
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarbogard Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Pecsi MFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Babati B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Adamcsek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarbogard 10 / 100
Pecsi MFC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarbogard Pecsi MFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pecsi MFC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Sarbogard found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (23 games).

Pecsi MFC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Sarbogard stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarbogard VS Pecsi MFC
1 Goals Scored 2.63
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarbogard

(Home)
31 Oct
MTK Budapest II
2 : 1
Sarbogard
24 Oct
Sarbogard
0 : 6
Paks II
17 Oct
Kaposvar
7 : 0
Sarbogard
03 Oct
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Sarbogard
26 Sept
Sarbogard
1 : 1
Budaorsi SC
Page 1 of 5

Pecsi MFC

(Away)
28 Oct
Pecsi MFC
4 : 2
Kisvarda FC
24 Oct
Budaorsi SC
0 : 6
Pecsi MFC
17 Oct
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
Szekszardi
11 Oct
Siofok
0 : 1
Pecsi MFC
03 Oct
Pecsi MFC
2 : 1
Budafoki MTE
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 13 12 1 0 40:4 37
2 Kaposvar 13 9 1 3 37:17 28
3 Ivancsa 13 8 0 5 31:24 24
4 Ferencvaros II 13 7 3 3 32:18 24
5 Majosi 13 7 3 3 30:27 24
6 Dunaharaszti MTK 13 6 2 5 24:22 20
7 Erdi 13 5 4 4 29:28 19
8 MTK Budapest II 12 6 0 6 31:25 18
9 Budafoki MTE 13 5 3 5 24:22 18
10 Siofok 13 5 2 6 22:18 17
11 PTE-PEAC 13 4 4 5 17:21 16
12 Paks II 13 3 4 6 28:24 13
13 Budaorsi SC 13 3 3 7 20:40 12
14 Sarbogard 13 1 2 10 10:39 5
15 Szekszardi 13 0 0 13 6:52 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)