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Sarbogard vs Siofok

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Sarbogard Logo

Sarbogard

1 - 1
FT
Siofok Logo

Siofok

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Gruber A.
54' Event
Abu Muheisen M.
90'
Abu Muheisen M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest game between Sarbogard and Siofok finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sarbogard
30%
Draws
47%
Siofok
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Siofok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Siofok come out ahead of Sarbogard on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Sarbogard Clean Sheet 10%
Siofok Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarbogard Siofok
Matches Played 18 33
Wins 4 17
Draws 1 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.17 2.24
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Sarbogard vs Siofok
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarbogard Compare

Top Goalscorer Abu Muheisen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Siofok Compare

Top Goalscorer Gruber A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarbogard 30 / 100
Siofok 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarbogard Siofok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siofok Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siofok's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 33 matches.

Sarbogard scored in 61% of their last 18 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Sarbogard stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarbogard VS Siofok
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarbogard

(Home)
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Sarbogard
2 : 1
Szekszardi
29 Aug
Ferencvaros II
1 : 0
Sarbogard
26 Aug
Sarbogard
1 : 1
Siofok
21 Aug
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
Sarbogard
Page 1 of 4

Siofok

(Away)
05 Sept
Siofok
4 : 1
Budaorsi SC
29 Aug
Szekszardi
1 : 3
Siofok
26 Aug
Sarbogard
1 : 1
Siofok
22 Aug
TFSE-Tent Budapest
2 : 0
Siofok
15 Aug
Siofok
0 : 0
Budafoki MTE
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 8 8 0 0 27:2 24
2 Budafoki MTE 7 5 1 1 14:6 16
3 Kaposvar 7 5 0 2 20:9 15
4 PTE-PEAC 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
5 Majosi 8 4 1 3 17:17 13
6 MTK Budapest II 7 4 0 3 21:12 12
7 Ferencvaros II 7 3 2 2 15:11 11
8 Siofok 7 3 2 2 12:8 11
9 Budaorsi SC 8 3 1 4 15:25 10
10 Ivancsa 7 3 0 4 13:18 9
11 Erdi 7 2 3 2 17:16 9
12 Dunaharaszti MTK 8 2 2 4 11:16 8
13 Sarbogard 8 1 1 6 7:19 4
14 Paks II 8 0 3 5 10:19 3
15 Szekszardi 8 0 0 8 3:30 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)