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Sardarapat vs Ararat Yerevan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Armavir stadium, Armavir
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sardarapat host Ararat Yerevan in the Premier League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Sardarapat have averaged 2.04 scored and 1.04 conceded recently, against Ararat Yerevan's 1.03 scored and 1.9 conceded. Past meetings favor Ararat Yerevan slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 7, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.50, favoring Sardarapat. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sardarapat
30%
Draws
41%
Ararat Yerevan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ararat Yerevan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Ararat Yerevan haven't matched Sardarapat's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sardarapat Clean Sheet 16%
Ararat Yerevan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sardarapat Ararat Yerevan
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 2.04 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs Sardarapat
1:2
Jul 19, 2026 Club Friendly
Ararat Yerevan vs Sardarapat
1:1
Feb 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Ararat Yerevan vs Sardarapat
5:1
Oct 30, 2025 Armenian Cup
Sardarapat vs Ararat Yerevan
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sardarapat 31 / 100
Ararat Yerevan 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sardarapat Ararat Yerevan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ararat Yerevan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sardarapat scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Ararat Yerevan has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Sardarapat remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sardarapat VS Ararat Yerevan
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sardarapat

(Home)
16 Oct
FC Gandzasar
1 : 2
Sardarapat
11 Oct
Sardarapat
1 : 5
Noah
19 Sept
BKMA
1 : 1
Sardarapat
13 Sept
Sardarapat
1 : 1
Alashkert
09 Sept
Sardarapat
2 : 4
Pyunik Yerevan
Page 1 of 6

Ararat Yerevan

(Away)
11 Oct
Urartu
2 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
03 Oct
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 4
Ararat-Armenia
20 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
1 : 0
Syunik
12 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
05 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 1
Ararat-Armenia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 9 9 0 0 26:6 27
2 Pyunik Yerevan 9 6 3 0 23:8 21
3 Ararat-Armenia 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
4 Alashkert 10 5 4 1 24:8 19
5 Sardarapat 10 4 3 3 17:18 15
6 Urartu 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
7 Shirak Gyumri 9 3 1 5 11:12 10
8 Ararat Yerevan 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
9 BKMA 9 2 2 5 8:15 8
10 Van 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
11 Syunik 10 1 2 7 6:22 5
12 FC Gandzasar 10 1 0 9 9:24 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)