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Sardarapat vs Mika

Armenia Armenia

First League 2025/2026
Sardarapat Logo

Sardarapat

5 - 0
FT
Mika Logo

Mika

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sardarapat in this First League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sardarapat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sardarapat
30%
Draws
47%
Mika
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mika

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sardarapat have won more games recently than Mika.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular First League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sardarapat have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sardarapat Clean Sheet 17%
Mika Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sardarapat Mika
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.04 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.04 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 First League
Sardarapat vs Mika
5:0
Sep 23, 2025 First League
Mika vs Sardarapat
0:2
Sep 17, 2025 Armenian Cup
Mika vs Sardarapat
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sardarapat 31 / 100
Mika 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sardarapat Mika

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mika Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sardarapat scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Mika's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Sardarapat remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sardarapat VS Mika
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sardarapat

(Home)
13 Sept
Sardarapat
1 : 1
Alashkert
09 Sept
Sardarapat
2 : 4
Pyunik Yerevan
06 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
2 : 0
Sardarapat
31 Aug
Sardarapat
3 : 1
Syunik
27 Aug
Sardarapat
1 : 2
Syunik
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Mika

(Away)
15 Sept
Mika
1 : 1
Urartu 2
01 Sept
Ararat-Armenia 2
1 : 1
Mika
26 Aug
Mika
4 : 3
Bentonit
18 Aug
Mika
3 : 1
Lernayin Artsakh
14 Aug
BKMA 2
3 : 1
Mika
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sardarapat 30 24 4 2 81:18 76
2 BKMA 2 30 22 5 3 77:31 71
3 Hayq 30 22 2 6 59:24 68
4 Syunik 30 22 1 7 83:26 67
5 Andranik 30 21 3 6 76:30 66
6 Pyunik Yerevan 2 30 12 8 10 43:43 44
7 Ararat Yerevan 2 30 12 2 16 43:58 38
8 Araks Ararat 30 11 4 15 38:51 37
9 Urartu 2 30 9 9 12 46:54 36
10 Noah 2 30 8 7 15 39:58 31
11 Bentonit 30 7 8 15 33:49 29
12 Mika 30 7 7 16 32:60 28
13 Ararat-Armenia 2 30 6 6 18 46:62 24
14 Van 2 30 6 6 18 33:58 24
15 Lernayin Artsakh 30 7 2 21 22:74 23
16 Shirak Gyumri 2 30 4 6 20 34:89 18
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