Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sardor Tursunzoda vs Eskhata Prediction & H2H Stats

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sardor Tursunzoda host Eskhata in the Vysshaya Liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sardor Tursunzoda have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.83 conceded recently, against Eskhata's 1.21 scored and 1.59 conceded. Past meetings favor Eskhata slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 4:3. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.31) point toward Eskhata. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sardor Tursunzoda
35%
Draws
32%
Eskhata
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Sardor Tursunzoda haven't matched Eskhata's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sardor Tursunzoda Clean Sheet 18%
Eskhata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sardor Tursunzoda Eskhata
Matches Played 18 29
Wins 3 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Eskhata vs Sardor Tursunzoda
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sardor Tursunzoda 31 / 100
Eskhata 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sardor Tursunzoda Eskhata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sardor Tursunzoda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Sardor Tursunzoda scored in 67% of their last 18 outings.

Defensive concern: Eskhata conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sardor Tursunzoda stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sardor Tursunzoda VS Eskhata
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sardor Tursunzoda

(Home)
16 Sept
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 0
Sardor Tursunzoda
11 Sept
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Vakhsh
14 Aug
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Khosilot Parkhar
31 Jul
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
2 : 4
Sardor Tursunzoda
28 Jun
Sardor Tursunzoda
0 : 1
Istiqlol Dushanbe
Page 1 of 4

Eskhata

(Away)
16 Sept
Eskhata
3 : 1
Istaravshan
06 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 0
Eskhata
27 Aug
Eskhata
1 : 1
Ravshan Kulob
14 Aug
Eskhata
2 : 2
Barkchi Hisor
01 Aug
Vakhsh
4 : 2
Eskhata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 23:9 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 Barkchi Hisor 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
5 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 16 7 3 6 18:20 24
6 Khujand 16 6 6 4 15:11 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 17 4 3 10 15:32 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 15:35 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)