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Sardor Tursunzoda vs Istaravshan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sardor Tursunzoda host Istaravshan in the Vysshaya Liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Istaravshan have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Sardor Tursunzoda have conceded 1.83 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Sardor Tursunzoda have won 0 to Istaravshan's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 17, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.88 - 1.31) back Sardor Tursunzoda to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Sardor Tursunzoda
30%
Draws
12%
Istaravshan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sardor Tursunzoda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Istaravshan haven't matched Sardor Tursunzoda's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sardor Tursunzoda's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sardor Tursunzoda Clean Sheet 18%
Istaravshan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sardor Tursunzoda Istaravshan
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 3 2
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.5 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.83 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Istaravshan vs Sardor Tursunzoda
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sardor Tursunzoda 76 / 100
Istaravshan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sardor Tursunzoda Istaravshan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sardor Tursunzoda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Istaravshan conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Sardor Tursunzoda's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sardor Tursunzoda remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sardor Tursunzoda VS Istaravshan
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sardor Tursunzoda

(Home)
16 Sept
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 0
Sardor Tursunzoda
11 Sept
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Vakhsh
14 Aug
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Khosilot Parkhar
31 Jul
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
2 : 4
Sardor Tursunzoda
28 Jun
Sardor Tursunzoda
0 : 1
Istiqlol Dushanbe
Page 1 of 4

Istaravshan

(Away)
10 Oct
Istaravshan
0 : 1
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
16 Sept
Eskhata
3 : 1
Istaravshan
11 Sept
Istaravshan
1 : 4
Barkchi Hisor
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
16 Aug
Istaravshan
0 : 2
Khujand
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Regar-TadAZ 18 12 4 2 25:9 40
2 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 17 8 3 6 19:20 27
5 Khujand 17 7 6 4 16:11 27
6 Barkchi Hisor 17 7 3 7 24:25 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 18 4 3 11 15:33 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 18 0 6 12 15:36 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)