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Sardor Tursunzoda vs Vakhsh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Sardor Tursunzoda Logo

Sardor Tursunzoda

3 - 3
FT
Vakhsh Logo

Vakhsh

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Sardor Tursunzoda and Vakhsh finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sardor Tursunzoda
35%
Draws
35%
Vakhsh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vakhsh come out ahead of Sardor Tursunzoda on wins alone.
  • Sardor Tursunzoda are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sardor Tursunzoda Clean Sheet 15%
Vakhsh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sardor Tursunzoda Vakhsh
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 6 12
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Sardor Tursunzoda vs Vakhsh
3:3
Apr 18, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Sardor Tursunzoda
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sardor Tursunzoda 35 / 100
Vakhsh 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sardor Tursunzoda Vakhsh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vakhsh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Sardor Tursunzoda found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (18 games).

Solid form: Sardor Tursunzoda remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sardor Tursunzoda VS Vakhsh
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sardor Tursunzoda

(Home)
16 Sept
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 0
Sardor Tursunzoda
11 Sept
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Vakhsh
14 Aug
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Khosilot Parkhar
31 Jul
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
2 : 4
Sardor Tursunzoda
28 Jun
Sardor Tursunzoda
0 : 1
Istiqlol Dushanbe
Page 1 of 4

Vakhsh

(Away)
17 Sept
Vakhsh
0 : 1
Regar-TadAZ
11 Sept
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Vakhsh
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
15 Aug
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 1
Vakhsh
01 Aug
Vakhsh
4 : 2
Eskhata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Regar-TadAZ 18 12 4 2 25:9 40
2 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 17 8 3 6 19:20 27
5 Khujand 17 7 6 4 16:11 27
6 Barkchi Hisor 17 7 3 7 24:25 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 18 4 3 11 15:33 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 18 0 6 12 15:36 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)