Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sarinena vs Calamocha

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 game between Sarinena and Calamocha finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sarinena
20%
Draws
51%
Calamocha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Calamocha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Sarinena haven't matched Calamocha's recent run of results.
  • Sarinena are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sarinena Clean Sheet 20%
Calamocha Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarinena Calamocha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.47 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sarinena vs Calamocha
2:2
Nov 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Sarinena
1:0
Jan 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sarinena vs Calamocha
1:2
Sep 8, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Sarinena
1:1
Jan 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sarinena vs Calamocha
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarinena 49 / 100
Calamocha 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarinena Calamocha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarinena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarinena's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Sarinena has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Calamocha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Calamocha
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarinena

(Home)
02 Aug
Sarinena
2 : 2
UD Barbastro
13 Jun
Tamarite
3 : 0
Sarinena
06 Jun
Sarinena
5 : 0
Valdefierro
30 May
CD Carinena
2 : 1
Sarinena
23 May
Sarinena
0 : 0
Fraga
Page 1 of 6

Calamocha

(Away)
13 Sept
Espanyol B
5 : 0
Calamocha
06 Sept
Calamocha
0 : 1
Terrassa
10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1
Calamocha
03 May
Calamocha
2 : 0
Robres
26 Apr
Calamocha
1 : 0
Huesca B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teruel 22 15 4 3 34:11 49
2 Huesca B 22 13 6 3 36:18 45
3 CD Belchite 97 22 8 11 3 22:9 35
4 Zaragoza B 22 8 10 4 32:14 34
5 CF Illueca 22 9 7 6 23:16 34
6 Binefar 22 8 8 6 29:17 32
7 Atletico Monzon 22 7 10 5 26:19 31
8 CD Carinena 22 7 6 9 21:23 27
9 Tamarite 22 6 7 9 19:29 25
10 Valdefierro 22 6 4 12 20:36 22
11 Fraga 22 5 7 10 17:21 22
12 San Juan Zaragoza 22 0 0 22 0:66 0
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brea 22 12 6 4 34:12 42
2 CD Cuarte 22 11 6 5 32:21 39
3 Utebo FC 22 9 10 3 21:15 37
4 UD Barbastro 22 9 9 4 27:18 36
5 Borja 22 8 7 7 29:23 31
6 Calamocha 22 7 9 6 24:19 30
7 Sarinena 22 8 5 9 36:36 29
8 Epila 22 5 11 6 23:23 26
9 Robres 22 6 8 8 23:31 26
10 Almudevar 22 4 10 8 17:32 22
11 Villanueva CF 22 4 6 12 16:39 18
12 Sabinanigo 22 3 5 14 24:37 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)