Sport Picks
Sarmiento de La Banda vs 9 de Julio Rafaela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Torneo Federal Stadio Ciudad de La Banda, La Banda 
Match Events
12'
12'
Bravo N.
25'
25'
Larrea L.
33'
33'
Abondetto R.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between Sarmiento de La Banda and 9 de Julio Rafaela finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 9 de Julio Rafaela.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: 9 de Julio Rafaela
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- 9 de Julio Rafaela carry the better recent record into this one.
- 9 de Julio Rafaela are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sarmiento de La Banda Clean Sheet 17%
9 de Julio Rafaela Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sarmiento de La Banda | 9 de Julio Rafaela |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.89 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1:4
Aug 10, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
0:0
Jul 28, 2024 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sarmiento de La Banda Compare
Top Goalscorer Gutierrez E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
9 de Julio Rafaela Compare
Top Goalscorer Larrea L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Abondetto R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sarmiento de La Banda 10 / 100
9 de Julio Rafaela 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sarmiento de La Banda 9 de Julio Rafaela
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick 9 de Julio Rafaela Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sarmiento de La Banda scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: 9 de Julio Rafaela conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Sarmiento de La Banda has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sarmiento de La Banda VS 9 de Julio Rafaela
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sarmiento de La Banda
(Home) 20 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
0 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
13 Sept
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
06 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 4 9 de Julio Rafaela
30 Aug
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
23 Aug
Sarmiento de La Banda
3 : 0 Sportivo Belgrano
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20 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
0 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
06 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 4 9 de Julio Rafaela
23 Aug
Sarmiento de La Banda
3 : 0 Sportivo Belgrano
13 Aug
Sarmiento de La Banda
0 : 0 Sol de America
12 Jul
Sarmiento de La Banda
2 : 0 San Martin Formosa
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9 de Julio Rafaela
(Away) 20 Sept
Sol de America
1 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
13 Sept
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 1 Bartolome Mitre
06 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 4 9 de Julio Rafaela
30 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
23 Aug
San Martin Formosa
2 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sol de America
1 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
06 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 4 9 de Julio Rafaela
23 Aug
San Martin Formosa
2 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
07 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
1 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
26 Jul
Douglas Haig
2 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6:2 | 15 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Douglas Haig | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 12 |
| 7 | Bartolome Mitre | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 5 |
| 8 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
| 9 | Sportivo Belgrano | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:14 | 5 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alvarado | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Cipolletti | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Biblioteca Atenas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Kimberley | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Argentino MM | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Villa Mitre | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5:4 | 10 |
| 8 | Huracan Las Heras | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Juventud Antoniana | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1:12 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
