Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal Stadio Ciudad de La Banda

Boca Unidos

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sarmiento de La Banda play Boca Unidos in the Torneo Federal. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sarmiento de La Banda averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. Boca Unidos averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Sarmiento de La Banda won 3, Boca Unidos won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 25, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Sarmiento de La Banda and 0.81 for Boca Unidos. This points to a Boca Unidos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Sarmiento de La Banda

15%

Draws

43%

Boca Unidos

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boca Unidos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Sarmiento de La Banda picked up more points recently compared to Boca Unidos.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 0.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Sarmiento de La Banda Clean Sheet 26%

Boca Unidos Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sarmiento de La Banda	Boca Unidos
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	10	12
Draws	7	5
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	0.86	1.36
Goals Conceded	1.18	1.21
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Torneo Federal

Sarmiento de La Banda vs Boca Unidos

Possession: 52% - 43% Cards: 2 - 4

3:0

Mar 22, 2026 Torneo Federal

Boca Unidos vs Sarmiento de La Banda

Possession: 41% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

3:1

Jun 15, 2025 Torneo Federal

Sarmiento de La Banda vs Boca Unidos

Possession: 49% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Apr 13, 2025 Torneo Federal

Boca Unidos vs Sarmiento de La Banda

Possession: 59% - 51% Cards: 4 - 0

2:1

May 19, 2024 Torneo Federal

Boca Unidos vs Sarmiento de La Banda

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarmiento de La Banda Compare

Top Goalscorer Roldan I.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Gutierrez E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Boca Unidos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarmiento de La Banda 43 / 100

Boca Unidos 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sarmiento de La Banda Boca Unidos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Boca Unidos or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sarmiento de La Banda attacking → ← attacking Boca Unidos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarmiento de La Banda scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Boca Unidos let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Sarmiento de La Banda went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Boca Unidos lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 41

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	16	7	7	2	19:7	28
2	Douglas Haig	17	8	4	5	20:14	28
3	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	16	7	4	5	15:10	25
4	9 de Julio Rafaela	16	7	4	5	26:23	25
5	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	16	6	5	5	20:17	23
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	16	5	7	4	11:12	22
7	Atletico Escobar	17	6	3	8	19:27	21
8	Independiente Chivilcoy	16	4	6	6	13:19	18
9	Gimnasia E.R.	16	4	4	8	12:17	16
10	El Linqueno	16	3	4	9	11:20	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	14	8	3	3	24:17	27
2	Bartolome Mitre	14	6	5	3	12:6	23
3	Sol de America	14	7	2	5	15:10	23
4	Sarmiento de La Banda	14	6	3	5	14:14	21
5	Juventud Antoniana	14	5	4	5	13:10	19
6	Defensores de Vilelas	15	6	1	8	21:25	19
7	Boca Unidos	14	5	3	6	17:19	18
8	Tucuman Central	14	5	1	8	12:15	16
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	15	2	6	7	10:22	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	19:15	25
2	Argentino MM	14	5	6	3	15:11	21
3	Biblioteca Atenas	14	6	3	5	12:13	21
4	Fundacion Amigos	14	4	7	3	17:14	19
5	Huracan Las Heras	14	5	4	5	10:13	19
6	Costa Brava	15	4	6	5	12:12	18
7	San Martin Mendoza	14	4	5	5	10:14	17
8	Juventud U.U.	15	3	7	5	10:10	16
9	Deportivo Rincon	14	4	4	6	12:15	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	19:7	27
2	Kimberley	15	6	7	2	14:8	25
3	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	14	6	7	1	10:4	25
4	Villa Mitre	14	4	7	3	8:5	19
5	Germinal	14	4	6	4	7:11	18
6	Sol de Mayo	14	4	5	5	11:12	17
7	Guillermo Brown	14	3	5	6	11:17	14
8	Santamarina	15	2	7	6	9:15	13
9	Circulo Deportivo	14	1	6	7	4:14	9