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Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Eva Peron, Junin
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Marabel J.
(Penalty)
29'
Arturia G.
46'
Sub
Ostchega T. In: Cobos F.
Out: Ostchega T.

AI Match Summary

Sarmiento Junin in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarmiento Junin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Sarmiento Junin
30%
Draws
16%
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sarmiento Junin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sarmiento Junin lately — more wins on the board than Estudiantes Rio Cuarto.
  • Model gives Sarmiento Junin a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sarmiento Junin have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Sarmiento Junin Clean Sheet 68%
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarmiento Junin Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 3
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.13 0.45
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Liga Profesional
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin
0:2
Mar 3, 2026 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
1:0
Jan 16, 2021 Primera Nacional
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarmiento Junin 77 / 100
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarmiento Junin Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarmiento Junin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarmiento Junin's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Sarmiento Junin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sarmiento Junin VS Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
1.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarmiento Junin

(Home)
19 Sept
Racing Club
3 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
13 Sept
Sarmiento Junin
1 : 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba
04 Sept
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 2
Sarmiento Junin
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
23 Aug
Sarmiento Junin
2 : 0
Estudiantes L.P.
Page 1 of 6

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

(Away)
20 Sept
CA Belgrano de Cordoba
2 : 1
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
15 Sept
Instituto
2 : 1
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
04 Sept
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 2
Sarmiento Junin
29 Aug
Huracan
1 : 1
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
21 Aug
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 0
San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 19:7 31
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 22:9 30
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 18:12 28
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 17:13 26
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 24:20 24
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 18:15 24
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 14:14 22
8 Union de Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 24:20 21
9 Instituto 16 6 3 7 17:17 21
10 Defensa y Justicia 16 4 7 5 18:21 19
11 Gimnasia Mendoza 16 5 4 7 14:22 19
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 10:15 16
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 16 4 4 8 11:21 16
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 15:27 15
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 5:12 11
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 29:15 34
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 22:12 29
3 Argentinos Jrs 16 8 5 3 17:13 29
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 20:16 28
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 16 7 5 4 17:13 26
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 19:19 26
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 17:13 22
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 17:15 21
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 15:15 21
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 18:15 20
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 13:20 19
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 17:19 18
13 Atl. Tucuman 16 3 5 8 15:20 14
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 6:19 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 5:24 5
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)