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Sarmiento Resistencia vs Boca Unidos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Centenario, Resistencia
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Alfano A.
46'
Sub
Medina A. In: Piedrabuena R.
Out: Medina A.
46'
Sub
Moreyra P. In: Arzamendia R.
Out: Moreyra P.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Sarmiento Resistencia and Boca Unidos finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boca Unidos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sarmiento Resistencia
20%
Draws
58%
Boca Unidos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boca Unidos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Boca Unidos come out ahead of Sarmiento Resistencia on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Boca Unidos taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Sarmiento Resistencia Clean Sheet 13%
Boca Unidos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarmiento Resistencia Boca Unidos
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Boca Unidos
0:3
Jul 5, 2026 Torneo Federal
Boca Unidos vs Sarmiento Resistencia
2:0
May 3, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Boca Unidos
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Torneo Federal
Boca Unidos vs Sarmiento Resistencia
1:0
May 18, 2025 Torneo Federal
Boca Unidos vs Sarmiento Resistencia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarmiento Resistencia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Boca Unidos Compare

Top Goalscorer Alfano A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarmiento Resistencia 19 / 100
Boca Unidos 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarmiento Resistencia Boca Unidos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boca Unidos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Boca Unidos conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Sarmiento Resistencia found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Sarmiento Resistencia remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sarmiento Resistencia VS Boca Unidos
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarmiento Resistencia

(Home)
19 Sept
Sarmiento Resistencia
1 : 3
El Linqueno
13 Sept
Gimnasia E.R.
1 : 0
Sarmiento Resistencia
05 Sept
Sarmiento Resistencia
1 : 0
Tucuman Central
30 Aug
Sportivo Las Parejas
3 : 0
Sarmiento Resistencia
16 Aug
Sarmiento Resistencia
0 : 3
Boca Unidos
Page 1 of 6

Boca Unidos

(Away)
19 Sept
Boca Unidos
3 : 3
Defensores de Vilelas
13 Sept
El Linqueno
1 : 0
Boca Unidos
06 Sept
Boca Unidos
1 : 0
Gimnasia E.R.
29 Aug
Tucuman Central
2 : 2
Boca Unidos
23 Aug
Boca Unidos
1 : 0
Sportivo Las Parejas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Unidos 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
2 Gimnasia E.R. 8 4 2 2 9:2 14
3 El Linqueno 8 3 4 1 8:4 13
4 Sportivo Las Parejas 8 3 3 2 8:3 12
5 Defensores de Vilelas 8 3 3 2 14:11 12
6 Independiente Chivilcoy 8 3 3 2 8:5 12
7 Atletico Escobar 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
8 Sarmiento Resistencia 8 2 0 6 5:16 6
9 Tucuman Central 8 0 2 6 8:21 2
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Brava 9 4 4 1 11:7 16
2 San Martin Mendoza 9 4 4 1 9:6 16
3 Deportivo Rincon 9 4 3 2 11:5 15
4 Fundacion Amigos 9 4 3 2 7:4 15
5 Juventud U.U. 9 4 2 3 7:6 14
6 Germinal 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
7 Guillermo Brown 9 3 2 4 6:7 11
8 Circulo Deportivo 9 3 2 4 6:7 11
9 Sol de Mayo 9 2 0 7 6:14 6
10 Santamarina 9 2 0 7 6:16 6
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)