Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sarmiento Resistencia vs Juventud Antoniana

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Centenario
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Vicedo M.
28'
Serrano J.
40' Event
Pared M.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Sarmiento Resistencia and Juventud Antoniana finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juventud Antoniana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Sarmiento Resistencia
11%
Draws
80%
Juventud Antoniana
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Juventud Antoniana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Juventud Antoniana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Juventud Antoniana's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Juventud Antoniana have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Sarmiento Resistencia Clean Sheet 23%
Juventud Antoniana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarmiento Resistencia Juventud Antoniana
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Torneo Federal
Juventud Antoniana vs Sarmiento Resistencia
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Juventud Antoniana
1:3
Jun 20, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Juventud Antoniana
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 Torneo Federal
Juventud Antoniana vs Sarmiento Resistencia
3:0
Aug 25, 2024 Torneo Federal
Juventud Antoniana vs Sarmiento Resistencia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarmiento Resistencia Compare

Top Goalscorer Pared M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Juventud Antoniana Compare

Top Goalscorer Vicedo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palacios Alvarenga P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarmiento Resistencia 13 / 100
Juventud Antoniana 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarmiento Resistencia Juventud Antoniana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarmiento Resistencia scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Juventud Antoniana has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Sarmiento Resistencia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sarmiento Resistencia VS Juventud Antoniana
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sportivo Belgrano1778219:729
2Douglas Haig1784520:1428
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1775515:1026
4Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1775522:1826
59 de Julio Rafaela1774627:2525
6Sportivo Las Parejas1758411:1223
7Atletico Escobar1763819:2721
8Independiente Chivilcoy1746714:2118
9Gimnasia E.R.1745812:1717
10El Linqueno1744913:2116
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Martin Formosa1583424:1927
2Bartolome Mitre1575313:626
3Sol de America1582518:1226
4Sarmiento de La Banda1573516:1424
5Juventud Antoniana1564516:1122
6Defensores de Vilelas1661921:2619
7Boca Unidos1553719:2218
8Tucuman Central1551913:1816
9Sarmiento Resistencia1526710:2212
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cipolletti1674519:1525
2Argentino MM1557315:1122
3Biblioteca Atenas1564512:1322
4Huracan Las Heras1564511:1322
5Fundacion Amigos1548317:1420
6Costa Brava1546512:1218
7San Martin Mendoza1546510:1418
8Juventud U.U.1537510:1016
9Deportivo Rincon1544712:1616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1577111:428
2Alvarado1676319:727
3Kimberley1567214:825
4Villa Mitre1557311:522
5Germinal154657:1218
6Sol de Mayo1545612:1517
7Guillermo Brown1535711:2014
8Santamarina152769:1513
9Circulo Deportivo152677:1512