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Sarmiento Resistencia vs Sarmiento de La Banda

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Centenario
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Gallardo D.
39'
Guzman G.
56'
Sub
Cansinos R. In: Roldan I.
Out: Cansinos R.

AI Match Summary

Sarmiento Resistencia host Sarmiento de La Banda in the Torneo Federal. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Sarmiento Resistencia at 0.5 goals for, 1.63 against; Sarmiento de La Banda at 1.38 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor Sarmiento de La Banda slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.63 vs 1.50, favoring Sarmiento de La Banda. Sarmiento de La Banda in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Sarmiento Resistencia
22%
Draws
60%
Sarmiento de La Banda
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sarmiento de La Banda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Sarmiento de La Banda has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sarmiento Resistencia.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Sarmiento de La Banda.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Torneo Federal provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Sarmiento Resistencia Clean Sheet 16%
Sarmiento de La Banda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarmiento Resistencia Sarmiento de La Banda
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 9 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Sarmiento de La Banda
0:1
Mar 29, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sarmiento Resistencia
1:1
May 31, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sarmiento Resistencia
0:0
Mar 30, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Sarmiento de La Banda
1:3
Jun 23, 2024 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Sarmiento Resistencia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarmiento Resistencia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Sarmiento de La Banda Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarmiento Resistencia 19 / 100
Sarmiento de La Banda 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarmiento Resistencia Sarmiento de La Banda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarmiento Resistencia scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Sarmiento de La Banda let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Sarmiento Resistencia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sarmiento de La Banda lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarmiento Resistencia VS Sarmiento de La Banda
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sportivo Belgrano1677219:728
2Douglas Haig1784520:1428
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1674515:1025
49 de Julio Rafaela1674526:2325
5Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1665520:1723
6Sportivo Las Parejas1657411:1222
7Atletico Escobar1763819:2721
8Independiente Chivilcoy1646613:1918
9Gimnasia E.R.1644812:1716
10El Linqueno1634911:2013
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Martin Formosa1483324:1727
2Bartolome Mitre1465312:623
3Sol de America1472515:1023
4Sarmiento de La Banda1463514:1421
5Juventud Antoniana1454513:1019
6Defensores de Vilelas1561821:2519
7Boca Unidos1453617:1918
8Tucuman Central1451812:1516
9Sarmiento Resistencia1526710:2212
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cipolletti1674519:1525
2Argentino MM1456315:1121
3Biblioteca Atenas1463512:1321
4Fundacion Amigos1447317:1419
5Huracan Las Heras1454510:1319
6Costa Brava1546512:1218
7San Martin Mendoza1445510:1417
8Juventud U.U.1537510:1016
9Deportivo Rincon1444612:1516
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alvarado1676319:727
2Kimberley1567214:825
3Olimpo Bahia Blanca1467110:425
4Villa Mitre144738:519
5Germinal144647:1118
6Sol de Mayo1445511:1217
7Guillermo Brown1435611:1714
8Santamarina152769:1513
9Circulo Deportivo141674:149