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Stadium Background

Sarmiento Resistencia vs Sol de America - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Centenario, Resistencia
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Ibanez M.
35'
Pardo F.
41' Event
Almiron C.

AI Match Summary

Sarmiento Resistencia in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarmiento Resistencia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sarmiento Resistencia
15%
Draws
59%
Sol de America
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sol de America

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sol de America have won more games recently than Sarmiento Resistencia.
  • Sarmiento Resistencia are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Sarmiento Resistencia Clean Sheet 68%
Sol de America Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarmiento Resistencia Sol de America
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Sol de America
2:1
May 17, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sol de America vs Sarmiento Resistencia
3:0
Jul 20, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sol de America vs Sarmiento Resistencia
0:1
Jun 15, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sol de America vs Sarmiento Resistencia
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Sol de America
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarmiento Resistencia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibanez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Almiron C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sol de America Compare

Top Goalscorer Pardo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarmiento Resistencia 46 / 100
Sol de America 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarmiento Resistencia Sol de America

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Sarmiento Resistencia scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Sol de America conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Sarmiento Resistencia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarmiento Resistencia VS Sol de America
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarmiento Resistencia

(Home)
19 Sept
Sarmiento Resistencia
1 : 3
El Linqueno
13 Sept
Gimnasia E.R.
1 : 0
Sarmiento Resistencia
05 Sept
Sarmiento Resistencia
1 : 0
Tucuman Central
30 Aug
Sportivo Las Parejas
3 : 0
Sarmiento Resistencia
16 Aug
Sarmiento Resistencia
0 : 3
Boca Unidos
Page 1 of 6

Sol de America

(Away)
04 Oct
Cipolletti
6 : 1
Sol de America
27 Sept
Sol de America
1 : 0
Cipolletti
20 Sept
Sol de America
1 : 1
9 de Julio Rafaela
11 Sept
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2 : 0
Sol de America
06 Sept
Sol de America
2 : 0
Sportivo Belgrano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Douglas Haig 18 9 4 5 22:15 31
2 Sportivo Belgrano 18 7 9 2 21:9 30
3 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 18 7 6 5 17:12 27
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 18 7 6 5 24:20 27
5 9 de Julio Rafaela 18 7 4 7 28:27 25
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 18 5 9 4 12:13 24
7 Atletico Escobar 18 6 4 8 21:29 22
8 Independiente Chivilcoy 18 4 7 7 15:22 19
9 El Linqueno 18 5 4 9 14:21 19
10 Gimnasia E.R. 18 4 5 9 12:18 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 16 9 3 4 25:19 30
2 Bartolome Mitre 16 7 5 4 13:7 26
3 Sol de America 16 8 2 6 19:14 26
4 Sarmiento de La Banda 16 7 4 5 17:15 25
5 Juventud Antoniana 16 7 4 5 19:11 25
6 Defensores de Vilelas 16 6 1 9 21:26 19
7 Boca Unidos 16 5 3 8 19:25 18
8 Tucuman Central 16 5 2 9 14:19 17
9 Sarmiento Resistencia 16 3 6 7 12:23 15
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cipolletti 16 7 4 5 19:15 25
2 Argentino MM 16 5 8 3 16:12 23
3 Biblioteca Atenas 16 6 5 5 12:13 23
4 Huracan Las Heras 16 6 5 5 11:13 23
5 Fundacion Amigos 16 4 9 3 17:14 21
6 Deportivo Rincon 16 5 4 7 13:16 19
7 San Martin Mendoza 16 4 7 5 11:15 19
8 Costa Brava 16 4 6 6 12:13 18
9 Juventud U.U. 16 3 8 5 10:10 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 16 8 7 1 13:4 31
2 Alvarado 16 7 6 3 19:7 27
3 Kimberley 16 6 8 2 15:9 26
4 Villa Mitre 16 5 8 3 14:8 23
5 Germinal 16 4 6 6 7:14 18
6 Sol de Mayo 16 4 6 6 15:18 18
7 Guillermo Brown 16 4 5 7 13:20 17
8 Santamarina 16 2 7 7 9:17 13
9 Circulo Deportivo 16 2 7 7 8:16 13
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)