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Stadium Background

Sarnese vs Budoni Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Odendo P. A.
45' Event
Casiello R.
75' Event
Gori F.

AI Match Summary

Sarnese in this Serie D - Group G matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarnese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sarnese
30%
Draws
27%
Budoni Calcio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sarnese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sarnese have won more games recently than Budoni Calcio.
  • Win probability leans Sarnese's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sarnese Clean Sheet 18%
Budoni Calcio Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarnese Budoni Calcio
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 12 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Sarnese vs Budoni Calcio
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarnese Compare

Top Goalscorer Odendo P. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Casiello R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Budoni Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Gori F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarnese 41 / 100
Budoni Calcio 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarnese Budoni Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarnese scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Sarnese remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Budoni Calcio let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sarnese VS Budoni Calcio
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarnese

(Home)
27 Sept
Ossese
2 : 2
Sarnese
20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1
Gelbison
16 Sept
US Venafro
0 : 1
Sarnese
12 Sept
Afragolese
1 : 1
Sarnese
06 Sept
Sarnese
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Budoni Calcio

(Away)
27 Sept
US Venafro
2 : 3
Budoni Calcio
20 Sept
Budoni Calcio
2 : 0
Anzio Calcio 1924
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
12 Sept
Budoni Calcio
2 : 2
Aranova
06 Sept
Sarnese
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
2 Paganese 5 3 1 1 13:7 10
3 Monastir 5 3 1 1 12:8 10
4 Trastevere Calcio 5 3 1 1 8:10 10
5 Certosa V. Campagnano 5 3 0 2 8:3 9
6 Unipomezia 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
7 Albalonga 5 2 2 1 9:7 8
8 Ossese 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
9 Budoni Calcio 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
10 Anzio Calcio 1924 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
11 Gelbison 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
12 Afragolese 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
13 Aranova 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
14 Citta di Anagni 5 2 0 3 7:10 6
15 Sarrabus Ogliastra 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Latte Dolce 5 0 2 3 6:11 2
17 Atl. Lodigiani 5 0 1 4 7:14 1
18 US Venafro 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)