Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Fredrikstad 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Esenli M.
(Penalty)
15' Event
Granaas E.
23' Event
Osnes H.

AI Match Summary

Fredrikstad 2 in this Division 3 - Group 6 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fredrikstad 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Sarpsborg 08 2
11%
Draws
80%
Fredrikstad 2
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Fredrikstad 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Fredrikstad 2 have won more games recently than Sarpsborg 08 2.
  • Model gives Fredrikstad 2 a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 35%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sarpsborg 08 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Fredrikstad 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 2 Fredrikstad 2
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.5 2.8
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2025 Division 3 - Group 6
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Fredrikstad 2
2:4
May 12, 2025 Division 3 - Group 6
Fredrikstad 2 vs Sarpsborg 08 2
2:6
Sep 6, 2022 Division 3 - Group 4
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Fredrikstad 2
4:1
May 15, 2022 Division 3 - Group 4
Fredrikstad 2 vs Sarpsborg 08 2
4:0
Oct 4, 2021 Division 3 - Group 2
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Fredrikstad 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarpsborg 08 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Osnes H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Fredrikstad 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Botchway N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Granaas E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 2 10 / 100
Fredrikstad 2 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 2 Fredrikstad 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredrikstad 2 has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Sarpsborg 08 2 scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Sarpsborg 08 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 2 VS Fredrikstad 2
1.5 Goals Scored 2.8
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.8
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 80%
75% Over 3.5 80%