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Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Grei

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Laajab I.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 6 2025 game between Sarpsborg 08 2 and Grei finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grei.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Sarpsborg 08 2
22%
Draws
18%
Grei
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sarpsborg 08 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grei come out ahead of Sarpsborg 08 2 on wins alone.
  • Sarpsborg 08 2 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Sarpsborg 08 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Grei Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 2 Grei
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 2
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.63 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2025 Division 3 - Group 6
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Grei
0:1
Jun 2, 2025 Division 3 - Group 6
Grei vs Sarpsborg 08 2
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarpsborg 08 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Grei Compare

Top Goalscorer Laajab I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 2 56 / 100
Grei 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 2 Grei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grei let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sarpsborg 08 2 scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Grei lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 2 VS Grei
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08 2

(Home)
25 Jun
Bjorkelangen
2 : 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
20 Jun
Sarpsborg 08 2
2 : 1
Fram
13 Jun
Brumunddal
3 : 3
Sarpsborg 08 2
30 May
Sarpsborg 08 2
0 : 2
Oppsal
26 May
Rade
5 : 1
Sarpsborg 08 2
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Grei

(Away)
25 Jul
Grei
3 : 1
Konnerud
27 Jun
Grei
1 : 5
Nordstrand
20 Jun
Union Carl Berner
2 : 1
Grei
13 Jun
Grei
3 : 5
Ready
30 May
Baerum
5 : 0
Grei
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