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Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Lillehammer Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Bengescu A. F.
27' Event
Bakkenget M.
42' Event
Hammershaug S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 6 game between Sarpsborg 08 2 and Lillehammer finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarpsborg 08 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sarpsborg 08 2
15%
Draws
46%
Lillehammer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillehammer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lillehammer come out ahead of Sarpsborg 08 2 on wins alone.
  • Sarpsborg 08 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Sarpsborg 08 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Lillehammer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 2 Lillehammer
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 2 3.34
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Lillehammer
3:1
Apr 27, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillehammer vs Sarpsborg 08 2
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarpsborg 08 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bengescu A. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bakkenget M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Lillehammer Compare

Top Goalscorer Hammershaug S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 2 83 / 100
Lillehammer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 2 Lillehammer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarpsborg 08 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarpsborg 08 2 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Lillehammer has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Solid form: Sarpsborg 08 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 2 VS Lillehammer
3.38 Goals Scored 3
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08 2

(Home)
03 Oct
Drobak-Frogn
4 : 1
Sarpsborg 08 2
26 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 2
Gjovik-Lyn
21 Sept
Lyn 2
2 : 2
Sarpsborg 08 2
12 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 1
Lillehammer
07 Sept
Orn
3 : 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
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Lillehammer

(Away)
03 Oct
Lillehammer
4 : 2
Oppsal
26 Sept
Rade
1 : 5
Lillehammer
19 Sept
Lillehammer
7 : 1
Bjorkelangen
12 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 1
Lillehammer
05 Sept
Lillehammer
3 : 0
Raelingen
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