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Stadium Background

Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Orn

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Gueye B.
24' Event
Camil Mmaee
31' Event
Tornby F.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 6 game between Sarpsborg 08 2 and Orn finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sarpsborg 08 2
15%
Draws
21%
Orn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarpsborg 08 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Orn carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sarpsborg 08 2's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 6 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Sarpsborg 08 2 Clean Sheet 11%
Orn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 2 Orn
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 2 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Orn vs Sarpsborg 08 2
3:4
Jul 27, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Orn
2:3
Sep 13, 2025 Division 3 - Group 6
Orn vs Sarpsborg 08 2
5:1
Jun 23, 2025 Division 3 - Group 6
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Orn
3:1
Aug 30, 2021 Division 3 - Group 2
Orn vs Sarpsborg 08 2
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarpsborg 08 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueye B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camil Mmaee
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Orn Compare

Top Goalscorer Tornby F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antonsen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 2 47 / 100
Orn 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 2 Orn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarpsborg 08 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orn let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Sarpsborg 08 2 scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Sarpsborg 08 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 2 VS Orn
3.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08 2

(Home)
12 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 1
Lillehammer
07 Sept
Orn
3 : 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
31 Aug
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 2
Rade
17 Aug
Fram
3 : 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
09 Aug
Sarpsborg 08 2
11 : 0
Brumunddal
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Orn

(Away)
19 Sept
Orn
0 : 2
Oppsal
12 Sept
Sandefjord 2
1 : 1
Orn
07 Sept
Orn
3 : 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
30 Aug
Bjorkelangen
2 : 5
Orn
23 Aug
Flint
2 : 0
Orn
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