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Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Orn

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Gueye B.
24' Event
Camil Mmaee
31' Event
Tornby F.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 6 game between Sarpsborg 08 2 and Orn finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sarpsborg 08 2
20%
Draws
38%
Orn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sarpsborg 08 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Orn carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sarpsborg 08 2's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 6 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sarpsborg 08 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Orn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 2 Orn
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Orn
2:3
Sep 13, 2025 Division 3 - Group 6
Orn vs Sarpsborg 08 2
5:1
Jun 23, 2025 Division 3 - Group 6
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Orn
3:1
Aug 30, 2021 Division 3 - Group 2
Orn vs Sarpsborg 08 2
2:4
Aug 29, 2020 Division 3 - Group 2
Orn vs Sarpsborg 08 2
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarpsborg 08 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueye B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camil Mmaee
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Orn Compare

Top Goalscorer Tornby F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antonsen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 2 40 / 100
Orn 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 2 Orn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orn let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Sarpsborg 08 2 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Sarpsborg 08 2 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 2 VS Orn
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08 2

(Home)
27 Jul
Sarpsborg 08 2
2 : 3
Orn
25 Jun
Bjorkelangen
2 : 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
20 Jun
Sarpsborg 08 2
2 : 1
Fram
13 Jun
Brumunddal
3 : 3
Sarpsborg 08 2
30 May
Sarpsborg 08 2
0 : 2
Oppsal
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Orn

(Away)
27 Jul
Sarpsborg 08 2
2 : 3
Orn
27 Jun
Orn
4 : 3
Sandefjord 2
20 Jun
Gjovik-Lyn
3 : 0
Orn
13 Jun
Orn
0 : 3
Elverum
31 May
Raelingen
0 : 0
Orn
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