Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Rade

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Langsaether M.
30' Event
Halvorsen V. E.
32' Event
Gueye B.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 6 game between Sarpsborg 08 2 and Rade finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarpsborg 08 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Sarpsborg 08 2
15%
Draws
36%
Rade
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarpsborg 08 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Rade carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sarpsborg 08 2 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 6 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sarpsborg 08 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Rade Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 2 Rade
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 2 2.71
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Rade
3:2
May 26, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Rade vs Sarpsborg 08 2
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarpsborg 08 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Halvorsen V. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gueye B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Rade Compare

Top Goalscorer Langsaether M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barrow J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 2 38 / 100
Rade 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 2 Rade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarpsborg 08 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rade let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Sarpsborg 08 2's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Sarpsborg 08 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 2 VS Rade
3.13 Goals Scored 2.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08 2

(Home)
12 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 1
Lillehammer
07 Sept
Orn
3 : 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
31 Aug
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 2
Rade
17 Aug
Fram
3 : 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
09 Aug
Sarpsborg 08 2
11 : 0
Brumunddal
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Rade

(Away)
12 Sept
Rade
4 : 2
Elverum
05 Sept
Rade
2 : 0
Gjovik-Lyn
31 Aug
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 2
Rade
22 Aug
Rade
1 : 2
Follo
15 Aug
Rade
3 : 2
Drobak-Frogn
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