Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sarpsborg 08 U19 vs Aalesund U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Nasjonal U19 CL
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Bengescu A. F.
50' Event
Reed M.
68' Event
Reed M.

AI Match Summary

The Nasjonal U19 CL game between Sarpsborg 08 U19 and Aalesund U19 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aalesund U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sarpsborg 08 U19
15%
Draws
51%
Aalesund U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalesund U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Sarpsborg 08 U19's 2.4 goals per match outpaces what Aalesund U19 have produced (1.71).
  • Sarpsborg 08 U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Aalesund U19 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 36%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Sarpsborg 08 U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Aalesund U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 U19 Aalesund U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.4 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.87 2.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Nasjonal U19 CL
Sarpsborg 08 U19 vs Aalesund U19
1:3
Mar 26, 2017 Junior U19
Sarpsborg 08 U19 vs Aalesund U19
2:1
Jul 8, 2014 Junior Elite Tournament
Sarpsborg 08 U19 vs Aalesund U19
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarpsborg 08 U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bengescu A. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.21
Avg xA / game 1.44

Aalesund U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Reed M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Knutsen S. K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.14
Avg xA / game 1.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 U19 83 / 100
Aalesund U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 U19 Aalesund U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarpsborg 08 U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sarpsborg 08 U19 scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Aalesund U19 let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sarpsborg 08 U19 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 U19 VS Aalesund U19
2.86 Goals Scored 2.13
2.57 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
86% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08 U19

(Home)
30 Apr
Sarpsborg 08 U19
1 : 2
Fredrikstad U19
22 Mar
Sarpsborg 08 U19
1 : 3
Aalesund U19
15 Mar
Start U19
0 : 4
Sarpsborg 08 U19
07 Mar
Tromso U19
3 : 2
Sarpsborg 08 U19
28 Feb
Sarpsborg 08 U19
5 : 1
Moss U19
Page 1 of 6

Aalesund U19

(Away)
06 Aug
Lillestrom U19
6 : 0
Aalesund U19
28 Jul
Aalesund U19
3 : 1
Lillestrom U19
29 Apr
Haugesund U19
1 : 2
Aalesund U19
22 Mar
Sarpsborg 08 U19
1 : 3
Aalesund U19
14 Mar
Aalesund U19
0 : 5
Lillestrom U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lillestrom U19 6 4 2 0 21:11 14
2 Stabaek U19 6 4 1 1 24:9 13
3 Ham-Kam U19 6 4 1 1 19:9 13
4 Brann U19 6 4 1 1 19:13 13
5 Lyn U19 6 4 1 1 18:12 13
6 Rosenborg U19 6 4 0 2 24:13 12
7 Sandefjord U19 6 4 0 2 14:8 12
8 Tromso U19 6 4 0 2 16:14 12
9 Stromsgodset U19 6 3 2 1 23:10 11
10 Asane U19 6 3 1 2 20:14 10
11 Molde U19 6 3 1 2 20:16 10
12 Viking U19 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
13 Valerenga U19 6 3 1 2 16:15 10
14 Odds BK U19 6 3 0 3 21:13 9
15 Sarpsborg 08 U19 6 3 0 3 19:16 9
16 Haugesund U19 6 3 0 3 16:15 9
17 Aalesund U19 6 3 0 3 10:15 9
18 Fredrikstad U19 6 2 2 2 9:12 8
19 Kfum Oslo U19 6 2 2 2 11:17 8
20 Kongsvinger U19 6 2 1 3 14:12 7
21 Kristiansund U19 6 1 1 4 12:22 4
22 Moss U19 6 1 1 4 12:28 4
23 Sogndal U19 6 1 1 4 10:26 4
24 Sandnes Ulf U19 6 1 0 5 6:24 3
25 Bodo/Glimt U19 6 0 2 4 11:17 2
26 Start U19 6 0 1 5 6:18 1
27 Bryne U19 6 0 1 5 11:26 1
Promotion - Nasjonal U19 CL (Play Offs)