Sport Picks
Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Norway
Eliteserien Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg 
AI Match Summary
Sarpsborg 08 host Aalesund in the Eliteserien. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Aalesund have shipped 1.96 goals a game lately, while Sarpsborg 08 have conceded 1.33 and scored 1.3. Head-to-head, Sarpsborg 08 have won 3 to Aalesund's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2026, ending 2:4. xG projections (1.81 - 2.44) back Aalesund to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Aalesund come out ahead of Sarpsborg 08 on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sarpsborg 08 | Aalesund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 2.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sarpsborg 08 found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).
Aalesund has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Sarpsborg 08 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sarpsborg 08
(Home)Aalesund
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56:20 | 53 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56:20 | 53 |
| 3 | Tromso | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40:29 | 38 |
| 4 | Molde | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44:32 | 36 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 40:31 | 34 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28:29 | 32 |
| 7 | Brann | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 39:34 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:29 | 25 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25:35 | 25 |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22:28 | 24 |
| 12 | Valerenga | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34:43 | 23 |
| 13 | Ham-Kam | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29:44 | 23 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33:46 | 21 |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 22:43 | 19 |
| 16 | Start | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22:44 | 16 |
