Sport Picks

Norway

Eliteserien Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg 08

2 - 1

Fredrikstad

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Sub

Berget J. In: Halvorsen V. E.

Out: Berget J.

17'

Holme F.

20'

Koch M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sarpsborg 08 in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarpsborg 08.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Sarpsborg 08

17%

Draws

13%

Fredrikstad

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sarpsborg 08

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Fredrikstad haven't matched Sarpsborg 08's recent run of results.
Sarpsborg 08 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 16%

Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sarpsborg 08	Fredrikstad
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	14	12
Draws	3	7
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.13	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad

Possession: 59% - 40% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Mar 8, 2026 NM Cup

Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Nov 8, 2025 Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad

Possession: 47% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Jun 1, 2025 Eliteserien

Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Sep 28, 2024 Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarpsborg 08 Compare

Top Goalscorer Halvorsen V. E.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Fredrikstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Holme F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 66 / 100

Fredrikstad 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sarpsborg 08 Fredrikstad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarpsborg 08 found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Fredrikstad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Sarpsborg 08 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 VS Fredrikstad

1.13 Goals Scored 1.13

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	13	9	2	2	31:11	29
2	Tromso	14	8	4	2	22:14	28
3	Viking	11	9	0	2	29:11	27
4	Lillestrom	12	7	1	4	19:11	22
5	Molde	12	6	2	4	20:15	20
6	Ham-Kam	11	5	3	3	19:18	18
7	Sarpsborg 08	12	5	2	5	14:16	17
8	Valerenga	13	5	2	6	19:22	17
9	Brann	13	5	1	7	26:21	16
10	Sandefjord	12	4	3	5	12:15	15
11	Fredrikstad	13	4	2	7	15:23	14
12	Rosenborg	12	3	3	6	12:18	12
13	KFUM Oslo	12	3	3	6	12:19	12
14	Aalesund	13	2	6	5	18:28	12
15	Kristiansund	12	3	2	7	11:21	11
16	Start	13	1	4	8	14:30	7