Sport Picks
Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad
Norway
Eliteserien Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg 
Match Events
16'
16'
Sub
Berget J. In: Halvorsen V. E.
Out: Berget J.
17'
17'
Holme F.
20'
20'
Koch M.
AI Match Summary
Sarpsborg 08 in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarpsborg 08.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fredrikstad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Sarpsborg 08 haven't matched Fredrikstad's recent run of results.
- Fredrikstad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 18%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sarpsborg 08 | Fredrikstad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 NM Cup
Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad
0:2
Jun 1, 2025 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sarpsborg 08 Compare
Top Goalscorer Halvorsen V. E.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Fredrikstad Compare
Top Goalscorer Holme F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sarpsborg 08 10 / 100
Fredrikstad 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sarpsborg 08 Fredrikstad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fredrikstad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sarpsborg 08 found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).
Fredrikstad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Sarpsborg 08 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sarpsborg 08 VS Fredrikstad
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sarpsborg 08
(Home) 30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0 Sarpsborg 08
22 Aug
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 2 Sarpsborg 08
16 Aug
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 2 Sandefjord
08 Aug
Viking
2 : 1 Sarpsborg 08
02 Aug
Molde
3 : 3 Sarpsborg 08
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 2 Sandefjord
26 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0 Ham-Kam
12 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0 Viking
25 May
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 1 Molde
09 May
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 1 Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 3
Fredrikstad
(Away) 30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4 Fredrikstad
22 Aug
Eidsvold IF
1 : 7 Fredrikstad
16 Aug
Fredrikstad
1 : 0 Kristiansund
08 Aug
Start
0 : 1 Fredrikstad
01 Aug
Fredrikstad
1 : 0 Sandefjord
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4 Fredrikstad
22 Aug
Eidsvold IF
1 : 7 Fredrikstad
08 Aug
Start
0 : 1 Fredrikstad
27 Jul
Rosenborg
4 : 0 Fredrikstad
17 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0 Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 47:14 | 44 |
| 2 | Viking | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 42:18 | 43 |
| 3 | Tromso | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 34:20 | 35 |
| 4 | Molde | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 36:29 | 30 |
| 5 | Brann | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 36:27 | 26 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 24:25 | 26 |
| 7 | Fredrikstad | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 22:28 | 26 |
| 8 | Rosenborg | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27:26 | 24 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 20:23 | 23 |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26:32 | 23 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 31:38 | 21 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15:23 | 19 |
| 13 | KFUM Oslo | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:31 | 19 |
| 14 | Kristiansund | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17:29 | 16 |
| 15 | Aalesund | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 28:43 | 15 |
| 16 | Start | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 20:39 | 13 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
