Sport Picks
Sarpsborg 08 vs Ham-Kam
Norway
Eliteserien Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg 
Match Events
27'
27'
Johnsgard M.
29'
29'
Nibe A.
33'
33'
Karlsbakk D.
AI Match Summary
Sarpsborg 08 in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarpsborg 08.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Ham-Kam have won more games recently than Sarpsborg 08.
- Sarpsborg 08 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sarpsborg 08 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 20%
Ham-Kam Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sarpsborg 08 | Ham-Kam |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Ham-Kam
1:0
Mar 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Ham-Kam
2:2
Feb 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Sarpsborg 08 vs Ham-Kam
3:2
Aug 31, 2025 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08
1:3
May 11, 2025 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Ham-Kam
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sarpsborg 08 Compare
Top Goalscorer Nibe A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Ham-Kam Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sarpsborg 08 42 / 100
Ham-Kam 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sarpsborg 08 Ham-Kam
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ham-Kam let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Sarpsborg 08 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Recent resilience: Sarpsborg 08 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sarpsborg 08 VS Ham-Kam
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sarpsborg 08
(Home) 18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3 KFUM Oslo
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1 Sarpsborg 08
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2 Valerenga
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0 Sarpsborg 08
22 Aug
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 2 Sarpsborg 08
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3 KFUM Oslo
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2 Valerenga
16 Aug
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 2 Sandefjord
26 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0 Ham-Kam
12 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0 Viking
Page 1 of 3
Ham-Kam
(Away) 16 Sept
Kjelsas
0 : 2 Ham-Kam
13 Sept
Ham-Kam
1 : 5 Molde
05 Sept
Rosenborg
4 : 0 Ham-Kam
30 Aug
Ham-Kam
2 : 2 Kristiansund
23 Aug
Trysil
0 : 5 Ham-Kam
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Kjelsas
0 : 2 Ham-Kam
05 Sept
Rosenborg
4 : 0 Ham-Kam
23 Aug
Trysil
0 : 5 Ham-Kam
16 Aug
Brann
3 : 0 Ham-Kam
31 Jul
Valerenga
0 : 3 Ham-Kam
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 52:17 | 50 |
| 2 | Viking | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 51:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Molde | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 43:30 | 36 |
| 4 | Tromso | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 37:27 | 35 |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 28:26 | 32 |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 36:29 | 30 |
| 7 | Fredrikstad | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 24:31 | 27 |
| 8 | Brann | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 37:31 | 26 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:29 | 25 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25:35 | 25 |
| 11 | Ham-Kam | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27:41 | 23 |
| 12 | Valerenga | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 33:42 | 22 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 18:27 | 20 |
| 14 | Kristiansund | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20:37 | 19 |
| 15 | Aalesund | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 31:45 | 18 |
| 16 | Start | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 22:41 | 16 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
