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Sarpsborg 08 vs KFUM Oslo Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg
Sarpsborg 08 Logo

Sarpsborg 08

1 - 3
FT
KFUM Oslo Logo

KFUM Oslo

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Kristensen B.
Assist: Vinjor M.
34'
Utvik B.
42'
Kristensen B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Sarpsborg 08 and KFUM Oslo finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KFUM Oslo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sarpsborg 08
30%
Draws
42%
KFUM Oslo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: KFUM Oslo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KFUM Oslo come out ahead of Sarpsborg 08 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 16%
KFUM Oslo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sarpsborg 08 KFUM Oslo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs KFUM Oslo
1:3
Apr 26, 2026 Eliteserien
KFUM Oslo vs Sarpsborg 08
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs KFUM Oslo
2:1
Apr 21, 2025 Eliteserien
KFUM Oslo vs Sarpsborg 08
1:3
Feb 23, 2025 Club Friendly
KFUM Oslo vs Sarpsborg 08
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sarpsborg 08 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

KFUM Oslo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kristensen B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hoseth H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sarpsborg 08 36 / 100
KFUM Oslo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sarpsborg 08 KFUM Oslo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KFUM Oslo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarpsborg 08 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: KFUM Oslo conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Sarpsborg 08 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sarpsborg 08 VS KFUM Oslo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sarpsborg 08

(Home)
30 Sept
Follo
0 : 2
Sarpsborg 08
18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3
KFUM Oslo
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Valerenga
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
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KFUM Oslo

(Away)
30 Sept
Honefoss
0 : 2
KFUM Oslo
18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3
KFUM Oslo
13 Sept
KFUM Oslo
2 : 1
Aalesund
06 Sept
Molde
2 : 0
KFUM Oslo
30 Aug
Start
4 : 1
KFUM Oslo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 21 16 2 3 54:20 50
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 21 9 2 10 39:32 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)